December 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

The 12z GEFS (November 21st, 2021) is showing this for December, it's been showing the primed cold air for a while. (not in detail until now)

Image

Image

Image
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Iceresistance yes Ive seen this, I definitely think we will get a few cold snaps in december, but the cold air definitely will start to build up in canada over the next several weeks, just a matter of wheb it comes down and where it goes
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

The GFS model is showing consistency of at least 1-2 major Winter Storms across the CONUS in Early December
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Iceresistance that is pretty far out, still their are signs as we approach the first week of December of potentially arctic air spilling into the united states
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1047
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

Iceresistance wrote: Mon Nov 22, 2021 8:15 pm The GFS model is showing consistency of at least 1-2 major Winter Storms across the CONUS in Early December
Any heading to SETX?
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Sambucol na, its so far out
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

sambucol wrote: Mon Nov 22, 2021 8:42 pm
Iceresistance wrote: Mon Nov 22, 2021 8:15 pm The GFS model is showing consistency of at least 1-2 major Winter Storms across the CONUS in Early December
Any heading to SETX?
Don't know, it's too far out to be 100% sure.

EDIT: The 2 storms are no longer there, but there is consistency for a cold wave in the same time period
Cpv17
Posts: 5289
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

The 12z GFS must be drunk. It’s showing a 1067mb high in western Canada.
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1047
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:33 pm The 12z GFS must be drunk. It’s showing a 1067mb high in western Canada.
That’s major. Correct?
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

sambucol wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:05 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:33 pm The 12z GFS must be drunk. It’s showing a 1067mb high in western Canada.
That’s major. Correct?
never gonna hold up...never does
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Thats far out, but something to watch, a 1067 mb high is no joke
Cpv17
Posts: 5289
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

snowman65 wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:35 pm
sambucol wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:05 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:33 pm The 12z GFS must be drunk. It’s showing a 1067mb high in western Canada.
That’s major. Correct?
never gonna hold up...never does
1047mb highs have a hard time verifying much less 1067. That would be historic. I miss srain. He’d always write up these paragraphs for us on here if he thought something was coming. Since he moved, he rarely posts. At least half of what I know about the weather came from him.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5673
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Seasonal on average for the next 6-10 days. NOAA is betting on warmer in mid-December but I'm going to roll the dice on a brief cold snap. ;)
Attachments
610temp.new-3.gif
610prcp.new-3.gif
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:53 pm Thats far out, but something to watch, a 1067 mb high is no joke
Which model has that?

EDIT: 12z GFS
Last edited by Iceresistance on Tue Nov 23, 2021 6:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

I dont think december will be warmer than nornal, especially with the cold air starting to build in Alaska, keeping my fingers crossed that NOAA is wrong here🤞🤞 And Iceresistance the 12z GFS showed that high
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Tue Nov 23, 2021 6:57 pm I dont think december will be warmer than nornal, especially with the cold air starting to build in Alaska, keeping my fingers crossed that NOAA is wrong here🤞🤞 And Iceresistance the 12z GFS showed that high
The 18z GFS has a 1053 MB High in Southern Canada & in Montana
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Iceresistance yup saw that, their definitely is a signal that changes will be on the way as we head toward the first week of december , a cold snap would be welcomed
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

18z GFS is getting me strongly concerned for Early December

Image
https://s8.gifyu.com/images/snku_acc.us_sc.png
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Thats far too out on the model to be worried about right now IMO
Iceresistance
Posts: 577
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 5:38 pm Thats far too out on the model to be worried about right now IMO
But the GFS has consistency on the potential December Cold Wave, this storm is only proving it, it needs to be watched very closely . . .
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot], Semrush [Bot] and 64 guests