Page 4 of 19
Re: December 2021
Posted: Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:18 pm
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:15 pm
Iceresistance is that a good or bad thing for us?
Remember that a +PNA means that the Cold Air gets pushed more towards the East Coast?
Re: December 2021
Posted: Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:39 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:15 pm
Iceresistance is that a good or bad thing for us?
We want a neutral PNA.
Re: December 2021
Posted: Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:58 pm
by Stratton20
Ah gotcha well im putting my money on a neutral PNA, im not buying the GFS, its too far east, the euro has a more neutral pna solution
Re: December 2021
Posted: Thu Nov 25, 2021 6:13 pm
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:58 pm
Ah gotcha well im putting my money on a neutral PNA, im not buying the GFS, its too far east, the euro has a more neutral pna solution
So did the 12z GFS . . .
Re: December 2021
Posted: Thu Nov 25, 2021 6:15 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance its 12+ days out, its going to change alot, im not gonna put a whole lot of trust into the PNA right now, especially since the 12z Euro favors a more neutral pna phase,
Re: December 2021
Posted: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:55 pm
by Iceresistance
The CFS is still very consistent with the December Cold Wave Round #2 (And maybe #3) around Christmas Week, & it has finally jumped up with the Euro on the Chilly Blast on the 12z run (It's behind every model run by 1 run time)
Re: December 2021
Posted: Thu Nov 25, 2021 11:25 pm
by Iceresistance
0z GFS has a more Neutral PNA on the first cold wave compared to the 18z GFS
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 7:42 am
by Iceresistance
The 6z GFS is featuring POWERFUL Highs in December.
1067 MB & 1060 MB at the same time
Another 1059 MB, over Montana
The Powerful Blocks over Alaska & Greenland will do the trick.
Very Cold Air comes screaming in with these Powerful Highs
3 BIG Winter Storms are also in play
24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 7:46 am
by Kingwood36
Nothing even remotely close to snow down here lol...yet
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 8:09 am
by Iceresistance
0z Euro has a more positive PNA
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 8:15 am
by Kingwood36
We need that postive to go kick rocks lol
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 8:58 am
by Iceresistance
I forgot to mention that a Negative PNA would also be nice since as it turns positive, the cold air from the West Coast will eventually come here
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 9:26 am
by DoctorMu
GFS 06z has a very light freeze in HOU and mid 20s in CLL on Dec 11. Not unusual for mid December. There does seem significant support behind the cold mass (-15°F to -40°F in Montana, Dakotas), so the unusual part could be the length/reinforcement of the cold snap.
It's a long way off. We'll see.
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 10:47 am
by Iceresistance
12z GFS is surging it MUCH faster compared to the 6z!
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:37 am
by Iceresistance
End of the 12z run on the GFS has a Snowstorm for DFW & Oklahoma.
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 12:10 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance yup i saw that
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 2:13 pm
by DoctorMu
Iceresistance wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:37 am
End of the 12z run on the GFS has a Snowstorm for DFW & Oklahoma.
True, but 20-50°F warmer in that run in the Rockies. I expect this fantasy to fade away.
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 4:51 pm
by Iceresistance
18z GFS trended colder again compared to 12z
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 5:02 pm
by Kingwood36
I'm about 50/50 of this becoming a reality
Re: December 2021
Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2021 5:06 pm
by sambucol
The trend is our friend