Winter Long Range Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Iceresistance
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:41 am

6z GFS WOW! If it was not being 300+ Hours out.

Iceresistance
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:42 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Tue Jan 25, 2022 11:23 am
CPV17 yeah, i think the MJO and some of the teleconnections may be the reasoning behind that
It's the MJO that is mostly out of action, it has really messed up the models.

Stratton20
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:16 am

Iceresistance well the latest GFS is very cold throughout its whole run

Cpv17
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:17 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:16 am
Iceresistance well the latest GFS is very cold throughout its whole run
Yeah and it has some support from the GEFS as well to back it up.

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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:20 am

CPV17 yup! We got a interesting few weeks ahead of us, if the GFS is right, man could we be in for some big time cold snaps

Iceresistance
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:11 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:16 am
Iceresistance well the latest GFS is very cold throughout its whole run
The Euro is in action as well, but the 12z GFS only solidifies the cold that is coming in February.

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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:12 am

Iceresistance yep we are going to be seeing some bug changes coming in the next 10 days or so, I love the cold so bring it on!!

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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:14 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:12 am
Iceresistance yep we are going to be seeing some bug changes coming in the next 10 days or so, I love the cold so bring it on!!
It seems like that the MJO is no longer needed for this one. (Unless it speeds back into Phases 8-2)

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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:17 am

Iceresistance maybe! THE GFS keeps persistent troughiness out to our west, bringing multiple storm systems over texas and oklahoma, this is a good setup for potential winter storms!

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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Wed Jan 26, 2022 12:57 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:17 am
Iceresistance maybe! THE GFS keeps persistent troughiness out to our west, bringing multiple storm systems over texas and oklahoma, this is a good setup for potential winter storms!
The CMC just went INSANE with a POWERFUL winter storm next week!

Kansas has reported 2 feet of snow from Yesterday's Storm, they did not see that coming.

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