Winter Long Range Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:32 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:23 pm
Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period
Yeah that looks to be headed out west. Not down the central part of the country.

Stratton20
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:38 pm

CPV17 Yep, hope the ridge doesn’t make a return, that would be a blowtorch pattern, good thing this is 16 days out so it’s definitely gonna change
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Iceresistance
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Thu Jan 20, 2022 7:04 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:23 pm
Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period
Nooooo, not the SE Ridge!

Stratton20
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Thu Jan 20, 2022 11:42 pm

00z GFS has moved up this potential dip in the jet from hour 384 to hour 312, when a model moves up something by a few days that’s something to definitely watch
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Iceresistance
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:14 pm

How is this not hyping anyone? Lol

Image

Image

Stratton20
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:18 pm

18z GEFS sniffing out maybe another shot at wintry mischief late next weekend? Seems to be the next Sunday timeframe
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Cpv17
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Jan 21, 2022 11:17 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:14 pm
How is this not hyping anyone? Lol

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Because it’s probably not coming here lol

Iceresistance
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Sun Jan 23, 2022 1:57 pm

With the MJO out of action right now, it's really messing up the models, making forecasts over 5 days out very diffcult.

Stratton20
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Sun Jan 23, 2022 2:03 pm

The only good news I can see say right now is the 12z GEFS heading into the first week of february is trending cooler than normal conditions for the central US

Cpv17
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Jan 23, 2022 8:29 pm

I actually don’t really think the models look all that bad. I see a lot of average or below average temps for the next couple weeks.

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