Winter Long Range Discussion

[Cpv17]

Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period

Yeah that looks to be headed out west. Not down the central part of the country.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 Yep, hope the ridge doesn’t make a return, that would be a blowtorch pattern, good thing this is 16 days out so it’s definitely gonna change

[Iceresistance]

Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period

Nooooo, not the SE Ridge!

[Stratton20]

00z GFS has moved up this potential dip in the jet from hour 384 to hour 312, when a model moves up something by a few days that’s something to definitely watch

[Iceresistance]

How is this not hyping anyone? Lol

[Stratton20]

18z GEFS sniffing out maybe another shot at wintry mischief late next weekend? Seems to be the next Sunday timeframe

[Cpv17]

How is this not hyping anyone? Lol

Because it’s probably not coming here lol

[Iceresistance]

With the MJO out of action right now, it's really messing up the models, making forecasts over 5 days out very diffcult.

[Stratton20]

The only good news I can see say right now is the 12z GEFS heading into the first week of february is trending cooler than normal conditions for the central US

[Cpv17]

I actually don’t really think the models look all that bad. I see a lot of average or below average temps for the next couple weeks.