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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Jan 15, 2022 6:02 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance I would take this pattern with potential mutliple chances for wintry weather, but id definitely not want a repeat of what happened last february, that was brutal
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Jan 15, 2022 6:07 pm
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: βSat Jan 15, 2022 6:02 pm
Iceresistance I would take this pattern with potential mutliple chances for wintry weather, but id definitely not want a repeat of what happened last february, that was brutal
I don't either, but the 12z Canadian went crazy cold, down to near Zero for Central & Northern Texas, & Below zero for Southern & Central Oklahoma.
It may happen again, we're overdue for back-to-back February Cold Waves.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Jan 15, 2022 6:12 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance Its possible, and to think just a few days ago the models werent showing anything interesting
man how that quickly changed
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Jan 17, 2022 11:57 am
by Iceresistance
12z Canadian Long range has very cold temperatures, it's unlikely though since it has a cold bias, especially after cold fronts.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Jan 17, 2022 12:00 pm
by Iceresistance
With the MJO becoming inactive, it's gotten harder for very cold weather to come here now once again, but if it reemerges at the right timing & if it gets really strong, something really big may be coming in February.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 5:41 pm
by Stratton20
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 6:33 pm
by Cpv17
Iβm really intrigued about the last part of this month into the beginning of February. Iβm a bit bullish on it right now. I know itβs not wise to be a bullish on something over a week out but it definitely has my interest.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 6:35 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 agreed and this is also something interesting and its inside of 10 days, GEFS sniffing out some more wintry mischief next week?
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 6:39 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: βWed Jan 19, 2022 6:35 pm
CPV17 agreed and this is also something interesting and its inside of 10 days, GEFS sniffing out some more wintry mischief next week?
Yeah.. and that could be just the beginning of a possible pattern change. Thereβs a chance it could be turning quite cold after that with more winter weather chances.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 6:44 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 man that would be amazing! Fingers crossed!
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 6:58 pm
by Cpv17
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:18 pm
by Iceresistance
Watch the 12z GEFS at your own risk.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:23 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance what does it show
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:45 pm
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: βThu Jan 20, 2022 12:23 pm
Iceresistance what does it show
Crazy Ensemble Member Snowfall & Mean Snowfall, but the Run is not done yet.
The fun on the GEFS really begins on February 1st.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:12 pm
by Iceresistance
12z GFS has something potentially big at the end of the run, & it's coming this way (More info on S2K)
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:21 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance yup has a deep trough digging into the southwest, too bad its fantasyland because that would definitely be something interesting to watch
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:34 pm
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: βThu Jan 20, 2022 1:21 pm
Iceresistance yup has a deep trough digging into the southwest, too bad its fantasyland because that would definitely be something interesting to watch
Unless it develops consistency
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:37 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance we will see, their is alot of cold air behind that trough on that particular run, for now just something to casually watch
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:11 pm
by Iceresistance
18z GFS WOW! (More info. on S2K)
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:23 pm
by Stratton20
Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period