Page 19 of 21
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:41 am
by Iceresistance
6z GFS WOW! If it was not being 300+ Hours out.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:42 am
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 25, 2022 11:23 am
CPV17 yeah, i think the MJO and some of the teleconnections may be the reasoning behind that
It's the MJO that is mostly out of action, it has really messed up the models.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:16 am
by Stratton20
Iceresistance well the latest GFS is very cold throughout its whole run
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:17 am
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:16 am
Iceresistance well the latest GFS is very cold throughout its whole run
Yeah and it has some support from the GEFS as well to back it up.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:20 am
by Stratton20
CPV17 yup! We got a interesting few weeks ahead of us, if the GFS is right, man could we be in for some big time cold snaps
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:11 am
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:16 am
Iceresistance well the latest GFS is very cold throughout its whole run
The Euro is in action as well, but the 12z GFS only solidifies the cold that is coming in February.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:12 am
by Stratton20
Iceresistance yep we are going to be seeing some bug changes coming in the next 10 days or so, I love the cold so bring it on!!
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:14 am
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:12 am
Iceresistance yep we are going to be seeing some bug changes coming in the next 10 days or so, I love the cold so bring it on!!
It seems like that the MJO is no longer needed for this one. (Unless it speeds back into Phases 8-2)
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:17 am
by Stratton20
Iceresistance maybe! THE GFS keeps persistent troughiness out to our west, bringing multiple storm systems over texas and oklahoma, this is a good setup for potential winter storms!
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 12:57 pm
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:17 am
Iceresistance maybe! THE GFS keeps persistent troughiness out to our west, bringing multiple storm systems over texas and oklahoma, this is a good setup for potential winter storms!
The CMC just went INSANE with a POWERFUL winter storm next week!
Kansas has reported 2 feet of snow from Yesterday's Storm, they did not see that coming.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 26, 2022 2:21 pm
by Stratton20
Very interesting.... Old Man Winter is coming, big time
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:02 pm
by mcheer23
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:29 pm
by sambucol
Is this looking likely to happen? I've read a couple of places about the Polar Vortex nose diving south into Texas around 2/14. Oddly, that was the same time last year we had the Icemaggedon here.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:35 pm
by Stratton20
The 12z GFS does suggest the potential for another strong front around the 13th or so, cant go int any details but just something to watch, 12z Euro also showing a strong front on day 10
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:43 pm
by sambucol
It looks like ERCOT might ought to ramp up more power production for whats coming next!
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 2:07 pm
by Cpv17
If you’ve read what I’ve been posting the past few days this is what I was referring to.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 7:30 pm
by walsean1
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:35 pm
The 12z GFS does suggest the potential for another strong front around the 13th or so, cant go int any details but just something to watch, 12z Euro also showing a strong front on day 10
That is dangerous cold weather oddly enough around the same time as 2021
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 7:33 pm
by Stratton20
walsean1 well actually not really, the front thats showing up on this run of the GFS would be strong but not as strong as the one we just got
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 7:41 pm
by Cpv17
The GEFS has an incredibly strong signal for cold in about two weeks. The strongest signal for cold I’ve seen all winter in that range.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 9:14 pm
by sambucol
walsean1 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 7:30 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:35 pm
The 12z GFS does suggest the potential for another strong front around the 13th or so, cant go int any details but just something to watch, 12z Euro also showing a strong front on day 10
That is dangerous cold weather oddly enough around the same time as 2021
Would this possibly be of the same caliber as 2021?
