January 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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TXDOT will be pre treating major roads and bridges in 10 Counties in the Corpus WFO Region.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Texashawk
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srainhoutx wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:45 pm TXDOT will be pre treating major roads and bridges in 10 Counties in the Corpus WFO Region.
Interesting. Who advises TXDoT? The regional WOs or the NWS at large? I just feel like this could really creep up on people, and after last February’s ice storms, a little transparency from all involved could go a long way, but I also get that they may be afraid people will panic over a low probability event, so… huh.
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don
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From HGX afternoon discussion.
.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Tuesday]...

Showers from Wednesday`s front will continue to push offshore
Thursday morning. Gusty northerly winds behind the front will
usher in colder temperatures. Combined with cloudy skies, high
temperatures will only get into the 40s on Thursday. Moisture
seems to linger in the wake of the front. With a few shortwaves at
mid- level and upper level divergence from an approaching
shortwave trough over W Texas/New Mexico, precipitation chances
return across most of the area by Thursday night. Given the amount
of dry and colder air filtering behind the front and a well-
saturated boundary layer, the main question will be precipitation
type. Most forecast soundings suggest a fully saturated profile in
the mid-level dendritic zone, but a warm nose between 900:850 mb,
suggests mixed precipitation across parts of the region.
Uncertainty remains high as any changeover to freezing
rain/snow/sleet will strongly depend on how fast the upper trough
moves eastward and how quickly sfc/road temperatures cool off
through the night. With that being said, areas south of Conroe may
see some mixed precipitation (slight chance for rain/freezing
rain/sleet), with better chances south of I-10. Still some
uncertainty between models, though, with low levels drying, out no
ice accumulation is expected. On the other hand, there is a
moderate to high confidence that it will be cold by Friday
morning. Breezy winds and cold temperatures will bring wind chills
in the 20s overnight.

By Friday morning, lingering coastal showers will bring some
rain/freezing rain.
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
Kingwood36
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"With that being said, areas south of Conroe may
see some mixed precipitation (slight chance for rain/freezing
rain/sleet), with better chances south of I-10"

Wow better chances south of I-10...wasn't expecting that
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Texashawk wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:51 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:45 pm TXDOT will be pre treating major roads and bridges in 10 Counties in the Corpus WFO Region.
Interesting. Who advises TXDoT? The regional WOs or the NWS at large? I just feel like this could really creep up on people, and after last February’s ice storms, a little transparency from all involved could go a long way, but I also get that they may be afraid people will panic over a low probability event, so… huh.
A few years ago, MODOT pre-treated Bridges due to snow in SW Missouri, there was too much uncertainty in the forecast.
Stratton20
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Knowing my luck we probably wont get anything in college station lol
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srainhoutx
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Texashawk wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:51 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:45 pm TXDOT will be pre treating major roads and bridges in 10 Counties in the Corpus WFO Region.
Interesting. Who advises TXDoT? The regional WOs or the NWS at large? I just feel like this could really creep up on people, and after last February’s ice storms, a little transparency from all involved could go a long way, but I also get that they may be afraid people will panic over a low probability event, so… huh.
It's a coordinated decision from NWS, State, County and Local Emergency Management officials.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 4:59 pm Knowing my luck we probably wont get anything in college station lol
Your location says Katy, which is West of Houston, College Station is NW of Houston
Stratton20
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Iceresistance I need to update that lol Im a junior at A&m college station
Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 5:10 pm Iceresistance I need to update that lol Im a junior at A&m college station
Makes total sense since you're at Texas A&M in College Station, TX
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