January 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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CPV17 yep and the 18z GFS has a pretty cold airmass behind that front if it plays out
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Tue Dec 28, 2021 9:08 pm As I sit out on the patio on this fine evening, next to the pool heated to 90….I can say I’m not looking forward to the cold front. Other than a lack of sunshine, this has been a most enjoyable holiday break of mild weather. Walks every day. Kids playing outside. It’s been great 👍🏻
Better keep that pool on 90°F! 8-)

Potential 50°F+ drop in temperature on Saturday in CLL...and even colder Monday am.

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Cpv17
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The 12z NAM is interesting. It has about half or possibly even more of southeast TX staying in the 30’s for a good part of the day on Sunday. The NAM usually does pretty well with temps.
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don
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HGX maps
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Stratton20
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Interesting to see the 12z Nam trying to show a little light wintry mix in our western counties , dont think their is enough moisture for this , though the cold air would be in place, just something cool to see, dont think it would cause any problems even if this did happen
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DoctorMu
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CMC and GEPS Ensembles are still sticking with 19-20°F Sunday night/Monday am in CLL.
Stratton20
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00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:32 pm 00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out
Check out the HRRR.
Stratton20
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CPV17 HRRR, which run? The current run only goes out 18-24 hours
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:46 pm CPV17 HRRR, which run? The current run only goes out 18-24 hours
What I meant was wait till it gets within range. It might be interesting to follow it.
Stratton20
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CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
txsnowmaker
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 30, 2021 10:23 pm CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
Any time you get a short-term model, any model, showing snow in Houston it’s an eye-opener. Certainly something worth keeping an eye on.
Stratton20
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txsnowman interesting! Definitely didnt know that, I usually dont focus too much on the meso scale models
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sambucol
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:32 pm 00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out
What’s the date for snow on that run? Thanks
Stratton20
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sambucol monday january 3rd! So definitely really close
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don
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HGX now calling for lows in the 20s for many locations.
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Kingwood36
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Euro coming along with next week's front
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Stratton20
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What a joke 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️ another above normal map from NOAA
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 2:51 pm What a joke 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️ another above normal map from NOAA
I really don’t put much stock into those forecast anymore.
Stratton20
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CPV17 I know, it seems like they arent taking into account what the GEFS and other ensembles are showing
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