Wx Infinity Forums

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 22, 2022 10:06 am Iceresistance Seems like most of the action this time will be confined to North Texas/ oklahoma, but still something interesting

walsean1 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 22, 2022 12:50 pm The ingredients for a Winter Storm maybe less of what we had in 2021 would be Arctic air diving all the way down to Texas, but not with dry air, but moist air so that we would have a shot at winter precipitation. Otherwise look what happens with the last week forecast which didn’t pan out. We need to keep in mind that our part of the state is not properly prepared for what we saw in 2021.

TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 9:44 am There was a reason HGX didn't issue any watches or advisories. Nothing supported that and in places with wintery mix possible the chances were so low that it is a surprise nothing much happened except the small novelty in College Station.

don wrote: ↑Sat Jan 22, 2022 1:16 pm

walsean1 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 22, 2022 12:50 pm The ingredients for a Winter Storm maybe less of what we had in 2021 would be Arctic air diving all the way down to Texas, but not with dry air, but moist air so that we would have a shot at winter precipitation. Otherwise look what happens with the last week forecast which didn’t pan out. We need to keep in mind that our part of the state is not properly prepared for what we saw in 2021.

Arctic air is going to be dry by nature.And the colder the air the drier it will be. To overcome that dryness you need a potent storm system to dig far enough south to tap into the moisture from the Pacific and or Gulf.The reason why we had a storm last year even with the dry arctic air in place is because the storm system dug south into Mexico. And then became negatively tilted over the area as it ejected across the state.Thus allowing it to tap into better moisture and also produce stronger lift over the state. If Thursdays system would have been stronger it would have been able to overcome the dry air better, and also would have been able to tap into colder arctic air from the north.A trough of low pressure or better yet a cut off low, that digs into north Mexico can be your best friend if you want a winter storm in Texas.

don wrote: ↑Sat Jan 22, 2022 1:16 pm

walsean1 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 22, 2022 12:50 pm The ingredients for a Winter Storm maybe less of what we had in 2021 would be Arctic air diving all the way down to Texas, but not with dry air, but moist air so that we would have a shot at winter precipitation. Otherwise look what happens with the last week forecast which didn’t pan out. We need to keep in mind that our part of the state is not properly prepared for what we saw in 2021.

Arctic air is going to be dry by nature.And the colder the air the drier it will be. To overcome that dryness you need a potent storm system to dig far enough south to tap into the moisture from the Pacific and or Gulf.The reason why we had a storm last year even with the dry arctic air in place is because the storm system dug south into Mexico. And then became negatively tilted over the area as it ejected across the state.Thus allowing it to tap into better moisture and also produce stronger lift over the state. If Thursdays system would have been stronger it would have been able to overcome the dry air better, and also would have been able to tap into colder arctic air from the north.A trough of low pressure or better yet a cut off low, that digs into north Mexico can be your best friend if you want a winter storm in Texas.