When will SE Texas see our first cool/cold front?

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ticka1
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Let's just say one which will drop temps in the lower 80's or upper 70's during the day and 60-50's at night?

With this heat wave raging and no end in site - I need something to look forward too.

My guess is Sept 25th. Then it will be October and the threat of tropicals storms along the Texas coast dimishes to an extent - I know we had Jerry but most don't bother us in October.

Just waiting.
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tireman4
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I know Wxdata knows this, but I am thinking the first cool front usually hits us the second or last week of September. Now, I could totally be wrong.....
ThunderMan
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I hope the first cool front comes the day or two prior to my outdoor wedding on Sept. 25th, lol! Get the rain and wind outta town ;)
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BoonDog
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My guess is september 15th, hoping for an early one
unome
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Image

:(

it was in the high 80's for our outdoor wedding the end of Sept in '90

I forget how long the summers are here, but wouldn't trade another -40 winter for it for all the tea in China...

I do like the "winter miracles" as Ed calls them, just every now & then :)
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wxdata
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tireman4 wrote:I know Wxdata knows this, but I am thinking the first cool front usually hits us the second or last week of September. Now, I could totally be wrong.....
Dr. Frank had gone back and figured that the first morning low into 50's (59 counts!) at IAH was around Sept. 25th-ish. A weaker cool front was possible well before then...
ticka1
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Did anyone notice the difference this morning it seems like there was less humidity in the air. Actually felt a tad cool this morning while walking the dog. I drove to work with the windows down - definitely not as humid and hot.
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Mr. T
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October 11th

Because it's IAH

Though where people actually live, these locations will likely see their first 50s well before that
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tireman4
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Interesting disco this morning from HGX:

THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST REMAINS INTRIGUING AS THE
GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN ALL HINT AT A FRONT PUSHING INTO SE TX LATE
MON THROUGH WED OF NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF HAS A SECOND STRONGER
FRONTAL PUSH NEXT WED/THU. SINCE THIS FRONT WILL MOST LIKELY HAVE
A TOUGH TIME PUSHING SOUTHWARD WITH THE BROAD RIDGING ALOFT...MAY
ONLY HAVE MAX TEMPS CLOSER TO THE MID/UPPER 90S INSTEAD OF UPPER
90S. ALSO WILL KEEP 20 POPS ON MON AS WELL AS 30 POPS FOR TUE
SHOULD THE FRONT HAPPEN TO OOZE INTO THE NORTHERN PARTS OF SE TX.
CONFIDENCE IN THIS FRONT IS NOT ALL THAT HIGH...BUT INTERESTING
THAT THE MODELS ARE ALL HINTING AT THE POSSIBILITY.


http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
TexasMetBlake
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Yeah, mid September is always a good bet on our first true cold front (in which temperatures actually cool). Keep in mind that Hurricane Ike was brought to you by a strong front on September 13th (remember the big squall line that pushed through only hours after the eye had pushed through Houston?) The temps behind Ike were VERY pleasant with cool overnight lows and mild afternoons. I don't think it rained again for 3 months after. LOL
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