February 2022

[mcheer23]

GEFS 12z Thursday morning

[Stratton20]

Despite what the ensembles show, I think its over, the SE Ridge looks to unfortunately win here, 12z Euro is no exception, I hope im wrong but man its not looking good right now

[sambucol]

https://youtu.be/cQHFGeILTfg

[walsean1]

I think it was the Feb 28- March 3 where our region may see bitterly cold weather and frozen precipitation , not necessarily next week. That what I got from Larry Cosgrove post today.

[Kingwood36]

Despite what the ensembles show, I think its over, the SE Ridge looks to unfortunately win here, 12z Euro is no exception, I hope im wrong but man its not looking good right now

You do this all the time..one bad run and you run for the hills saying it's over then the next run shows it and you are back on board..it's a race not a sprint my man..don't let a bad run get ya down

[Stratton20]

Kingwood36 thats the thing though its showing in all of the models bow, that SE Ridge is just too close, I would normally just say meh if it was one model, but nearly all the models have the SE Ridge too close to us for anything frozen to fall, again I hope im wrong, but the trend has not been our friend today

[mcheer23]

I think it was the Feb 28- March 3 where our region may see bitterly cold weather and frozen precipitation , not necessarily next week. That what I got from Larry Cosgrove post today.

CPC has SETX under a "slight risk of hazardous temps" march 2-3

[Cpv17]

I think it was the Feb 28- March 3 where our region may see bitterly cold weather and frozen precipitation , not necessarily next week. That what I got from Larry Cosgrove post today.

CPC has SETX under a "slight risk of hazardous temps" march 2-3

Talk about a change from yesterday..geez. I thought it was just about a sure thing as of yesterday at this time.

Edit: nvm. I just looked at the CPC forecast and it’s not that much different from yesterday.

[DoctorMu]

https://youtu.be/cQHFGeILTfg

There's going to be a massive temp. gradients. In another month this would be a huge severe outbreak, so I'm happy to have potential wintry mischief. I'll probably leave early Wednesday for Waco before sleet (potentially) arrives in the I-35 corridor.

[DoctorMu]

Despite what the ensembles show, I think its over, the SE Ridge looks to unfortunately win here, 12z Euro is no exception, I hope im wrong but man its not looking good right now

You do this all the time..one bad run and you run for the hills saying it's over then the next run shows it and you are back on board..it's a race not a sprint my man..don't let a bad run get ya down

Yep. Canadian has been pretty consistent, and they nailed the last major ice event as well as last Feb's winter storm.

[Cpv17]

Guys, I really don’t think we should be too worried about this if the cold is coming or not. You don’t see this too often from the CPC:



Also, look at Alaska. It’s torching.

[Stratton20]

18z GFS continues the trend of nothing for us, I just dont see any way we get wintry precip down here with the ridge that close

[Rip76]

What does it look like in Midland next week precip-wise?

[DoctorMu]

What does it look like in Midland next week precip-wise?

Not a lot of moisture vs. here. Slight chance of snow Wed. night.

Wintry mix is advertised midweek as ensembles grow colder in forecast for Austin and DFW forecast areas (I-35 corridor, Hill Country).

[Rip76]

What does it look like in Midland next week precip-wise?

Not a lot of moisture vs. here. Slight chance of snow Wed. night.

Wintry mix is advertised midweek as ensembles grow colder in forecast for Austin and DFW forecast areas (I-35 corridor, Hill Country).

Awesome thank you.
Been traveling and don’t really know if I trust some of my “weather,” apps.

[Stratton20]

Rip76 yeah be careful with those weather apps, im not sure where they get their data from

[Iceresistance]

Rip76 yeah be careful with those weather apps, im not sure where they get their data from

TWC should not be trusted at all, has a high of 79 for Tulsa Next Monday.

[walsean1]

Look like from what I watched with the YouTube posted on the board, all of the nasty wintry weather will stay to our north and it may get cold but not bitterly cold. My wife’s friend pipes bursted from the 2021 freeze and she still has not moved back in her house. even though we all want to see snow, due to the region we live in, it sometimes comes with a costly price.

[Stratton20]

walsean1 remember though we are still 6/7 days out from this so their is plenty of time for change, also arctic air because of its shallow nature and how fast it moves, is often underestimated by the models, could be colder than whay the models show and it could come in faster

[vci_guy2003]

Stratton20- I thought you said the cold wasn’t coming lol