February 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 25, 2022 5:45 pm Hard to see but I cant zoom in any closer but FWIW the 18z GEFS does have some members on board with a wintry storm next week, key word “just a few right now though) this is days 8-9
You can put the region to (South-Central USA) so you can get a better visual of Oklahoma & Texas!
Stratton20
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After figuring out how to zoom in, here is a better view of the 18z GEFS members
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Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 25, 2022 5:52 pm After figuring out how to zoom in, here is a better view of the 18z GEFS members
Yeah, Member #12 has a foot of snow in Oklahoma & Texas from a single storm.
Cpv17
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Growing confidence for a pretty strong front to move through here towards the end of next week. Still don’t really like what I see from the models yet. Probably need a better snowpack up north. Too much modification.
Kingwood36
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Always the case down here..air modifies to quick here
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Tue Jan 25, 2022 7:24 pm Always the case down here..air modifies to quick here
Yeah especially when there’s not much of a snowpack over the central plain states.
Stratton20
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I mean technically cant you still get wintry precipitation or a storm even with modified arctic air?
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 25, 2022 8:04 pm I mean technically cant you still get wintry precipitation or a storm even with modified arctic air?
Yes but it makes it a lot harder.
Stratton20
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00z CMC shows a potential winter storm setup about 8 days from now fwiw
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Cpv17
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Well well well, the models have just gotten really interesting.
Stratton20
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00z Euro wow
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 7:39 am 00z Euro wow
If we can get that low to dig about another 100-150 miles more south then we’re in business. So close!!
Stratton20
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Cpv17 its definitely trending closer, would be a nasty sleet storm for my area though
Kingwood36
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Ehh..you can keep the ice
Iceresistance
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KFOR for Next Week has really got me concerned.

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Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:18 am Ehh..you can keep the ice
That’s why I said it needs to dig further south.
Stratton20
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I really am liking the pattern im seeing through hour 300 on the GFS, Jet stream buckles south and allows multiple storm systems to pass through Texas with some arctic air, definitely looking like a favorable pattern for some wintry mischief down the road
Cpv17
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My Weatherbug app has my down for a 70% chance of a rain/snow mix for next Wednesday night.
Stratton20
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12z CMC putting us in the Ice Box next week, also shows a winter storm forming fwiw🥶🥶
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Iceresistance
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:31 am 12z CMC putting us in the Ice Box next week, also shows a winter storm forming fwiw🥶🥶
RUN

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