February 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
mcheer23
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 11:31 am 12z CMC putting us in the Ice Box next week, also shows a winter storm forming fwiw🥶🥶
Yup both 00Z EURO and 12z CMC suggest a winter storm may form next week with gnarly ice accumulations.
Good thing it's just a model run. Take these with a grain of salt for right now.
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mcheer23
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12z EURO
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Stratton20
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That is a crazy run by the euro!😱😱
mcheer23
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Well well well....
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Stratton20
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The 18z GFS FWIW has trended toward the Euro and CMC solutions with a winter storm in Texas, obviously where this will occur remains to be seen but with all 3 major global models on board, its very interesting
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Cpv17
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Not a good run by the 0z Euro and 6z GFS if you want winter weather. Hopefully they’ll come back around. We really need this low to dig deeper into Mexico and deepen a lot before ejecting or else Texas might not get much of anything.
Stratton20
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CPV17 well some of the GEFS members say otherwise, im not putting much stock into the global models right now until i see some consistency , the mesocale models will also be important when they get into range of this storm system
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 8:52 am CPV17 well some of the GEFS members say otherwise, im not putting much stock into the global models right now until i see some consistency , the mesocale models will also be important when they get into range of this storm system
I wouldn’t bank on anything happening.
mcheer23
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 9:06 am
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 8:52 am CPV17 well some of the GEFS members say otherwise, im not putting much stock into the global models right now until i see some consistency , the mesocale models will also be important when they get into range of this storm system
I wouldn’t bank on anything happening.
I agree. We'll see how it plays out, as of now the Houston area is getting winter precip on about 6 of the 30 GEFS members.
mcheer23
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GEFS support doubled, it now has about 12 members (of 30) showing winter precip.
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