April 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
mcheer23
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Rainfall totals the next 7 days...I do think these will increase some
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Cpv17
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Iceresistance wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 8:25 am
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 4:44 pm Well ummm, ok. I wasn’t expecting to see this:

Image

Image
It's Hotlinked, It now says that it's Below Normal Rainfall
Oh yeah, I know. It always does that when I post those maps lol
Iceresistance
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 10:03 am
Iceresistance wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 8:25 am
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 4:44 pm Well ummm, ok. I wasn’t expecting to see this:

Image

Image
It's Hotlinked, It now says that it's Below Normal Rainfall
Oh yeah, I know. It always does that when I post those maps lol
You can save them, upload them to a GIF uploader (Gifyu or Imgur) & there, the image is no longer hotlinked.
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don
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From the SPC this morning regarding next weeks system.
A southern-stream shortwave trough is forecast to move across the
Southwest, southern Plains and into the Mid-South/Lower MS Valley in
D5/Monday. Some severe potential appears likely across TX on
D5/Monday, but differences with the guidance regarding low-level
moisture and location of the surface features results in too much
uncertainty to delineate an area.
Stratton20
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As I expected, I dont see a wet pattern taking shape, maybe a storm system every 7-10 days but thats about it
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 11:11 am As I expected, I dont see a wet pattern taking shape, maybe a storm system every 7-10 days but thats about it
I’m beginning to think you don’t like rain much lol

Anyway, the 12z GFS looks decent. 1-2” over the next couple weeks.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 1:33 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 11:11 am As I expected, I dont see a wet pattern taking shape, maybe a storm system every 7-10 days but thats about it
I’m beginning to think you don’t like rain much lol

Anyway, the 12z GFS looks decent. 1-2” over the next couple weeks.
That would be good enough.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 na I like rain, but I like it when we get a single day of rain followed by a good stretch of dry weather, multiple days of rain in a row is what i dont really like though
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captainbarbossa19
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 1:54 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 1:33 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Mar 31, 2022 11:11 am As I expected, I dont see a wet pattern taking shape, maybe a storm system every 7-10 days but thats about it
I’m beginning to think you don’t like rain much lol

Anyway, the 12z GFS looks decent. 1-2” over the next couple weeks.
That would be good enough.
Agreed. Keep in mind that this amount is averaged too. Some areas will likely receive more! March and April are often dry, so this is a welcomed trend.
mcheer23
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Day 4 Slight Risk
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jasons2k
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Hopefully we see some rain again next week. Looks like a beautiful weekend.
That NE wind is bringing-in that paper mill smell.
mcheer23
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Apr 01, 2022 9:45 am Hopefully we see some rain again next week. Looks like a beautiful weekend.
That NE wind is bringing-in that paper mill smell.
Might be some surprise showers tomorrow morning ;)
Cpv17
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mcheer23 wrote: Fri Apr 01, 2022 7:45 am Day 4 Slight Risk
The GFS has this well north of here. More so in far northern Texas and into Oklahoma.
mcheer23
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Apr 01, 2022 1:20 pm
mcheer23 wrote: Fri Apr 01, 2022 7:45 am Day 4 Slight Risk
The GFS has this well north of here. More so in far northern Texas and into Oklahoma.
EURO likes north and east houston
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captainbarbossa19
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mcheer23 wrote: Fri Apr 01, 2022 1:42 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Apr 01, 2022 1:20 pm
mcheer23 wrote: Fri Apr 01, 2022 7:45 am Day 4 Slight Risk
The GFS has this well north of here. More so in far northern Texas and into Oklahoma.
EURO likes north and east houston
I am leaning more towards the EURO on this system because the past several systems have been further south than models forecasted. My area was forecasted to receive less than 0.25 inches on some models and I picked up around 0.5 inches last time.
Stratton20
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GFS doesnt show much rain around Monday, I suspect the severe risk will be shifted north, i dont see much action in SE Texas monday
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DoctorMu
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GFS, CMC, ICON have the main rain just north of CLL.
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DoctorMu
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Yeah, I'm not seeing much rain in the first half of the month on the models.
txsnowmaker
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National Weather Service has 50% chance of rain Monday afternoon and 70% chance Monday evening into overnight hours for metro Houston (Galleria area). Models aren’t always right…
Stratton20
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I think thise rain chances are too high, I just dont see that much rain out of this, maybe a few showers an an isolated storm, but if we do get some storms, hope it happens overnight and not during the day lol
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