May 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 11:58 am My brothers graduation ceremony is tonight at 7 pm in katy, will it be dry?
Let me guess. It’s at the Merrell Center? And yeah it should be dry.
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

don wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 12:02 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 11:58 am
DoctorMu wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 11:52 am Dang it. I don't want to set the Sprinklers while we are away. Hoping for rain this afternoon and tonight.
The MCS tomorrow is coming at the wrong time of day. It looks like pretty weak sauce by the time it gets to southeast TX.
12Z mesoscale models actually look pretty good to me.
I see maybe 1-2”. I was just hoping for much more. As dry as it is where I live, you won’t even be able to tell it rained after just 1-2”.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Getting some rain now. I hope for a soaker tomorrow.
Team #NeverSummer
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Cpv17 its at legacy stadium, his class is around 1,000 haha
User avatar
captainbarbossa19
Posts: 400
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2021 2:50 pm
Location: Starkville, MS
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 12:06 pm
don wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 12:02 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 11:58 am

The MCS tomorrow is coming at the wrong time of day. It looks like pretty weak sauce by the time it gets to southeast TX.
12Z mesoscale models actually look pretty good to me.
I see maybe 1-2”. I was just hoping for much more. As dry as it is where I live, you won’t even be able to tell it rained after just 1-2”.
There won't be standing water, but the grass and trees will green up tremendously. I had 1.4 inches on Sunday morning. Before the rain, my pond was about 9-12 inches below normal level. After the rain, it was at normal level and the grass and trees looked much better. Fortunately, I picked up more rain this morning with more expected again tomorrow. I think we will have some more dry weather for about a week, but rain will return soon next month.
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1702
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

So glad that was a short length of no rain last couple weeks. I was worried we’d be starting a 2011 all over again. Moisture looks like its making a come back in reasonable times now. Shew…
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1702
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

And glad to see nothing ending our drought all at one time. Slow and steady wins the race. Lol
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

captainbarbossa19 wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 1:13 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 12:06 pm
don wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 12:02 pm

12Z mesoscale models actually look pretty good to me.
I see maybe 1-2”. I was just hoping for much more. As dry as it is where I live, you won’t even be able to tell it rained after just 1-2”.
There won't be standing water, but the grass and trees will green up tremendously. I had 1.4 inches on Sunday morning. Before the rain, my pond was about 9-12 inches below normal level. After the rain, it was at normal level and the grass and trees looked much better. Fortunately, I picked up more rain this morning with more expected again tomorrow. I think we will have some more dry weather for about a week, but rain will return soon next month.
Yeah I see more rain chances coming up in June as well and I think that’s when the tropics will start to heat up.
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

It appears we may need to watch the gulf over the next 10-12 days, latest global outlook is out and it is pretty interesting
Attachments
F215C8A2-C944-4C93-8630-072B1529FA12.png
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
107 PM CDT Tue May 24 2022

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

Showers and thunderstorms will taper off into the afternoon, while
S/SE winds of 10-15kts with gusts nearing 25kts continuing
throughout much of the day. A cold front is expected to enter the
region later tonight around 04-06z, ushering in strong to severe
thunderstorms, MVFR CIGS and gusty northerly winds across the
region. The line of storms should reach CLL around 04-05z,
continuing south to KIAH around 08-09z then reaching KGLS by
09-10z.
03
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Look at the redevelopment towards Waller and Bellville….
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

12z Euro is rather interesting, made a GIF
Attachments
ec-fast_z500_mslp_watl_fh120-240.gif
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 4437
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

The latest radar 2:15 pm
Attachments
The Latest Radar Look 2 15 pm  05 24 22.png
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 2:23 pm 12z Euro is rather interesting, made a GIF
Both the Euro and GFS have been showing a Pacific crossover around the beginning of June for the last few days now.Not buying it yet but something to keep an eye on.
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Don I will say though the lastest EPS run that came out has quite a few members now showing this crossover into the BOC as well
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

0.35" here today so far.
User avatar
Katdaddy
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 2501
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
Location: League City, Tx
Contact:

1.24" down here in NW Galveston County and the yard is feeling happy.
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1702
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

Oh wow. Looks like im gonna get another line of severe weather in about 15-20 min here in Beaumont from this mornings tail end storms. Wasn’t expecting this!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1702
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

Storming again in Beaumont. Gusts are about 40mph. Awesome. Loving this!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

The large MCS has developed as forecast to our west.
Last edited by don on Tue May 24, 2022 8:50 pm, edited 4 times in total.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot] and 61 guests