May 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Interesting to see the HRRR try to spin up a weak low pressure area in the gulf on sunday/monday, though it would likely get pulled north as the front is nearby in SE Texas
Dls2010r
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No whining!!!!!! I just got 2 sprinkles! I’m in Santa Fe. We won’t Jt get much either!!!!
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captainbarbossa19
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Location: Starkville, MS
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Big south shift on 0z GFS of heaviest rainfall. Now shows 5 inch plus totals just NE of Houston.
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DoctorMu
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Gettin jiggy up here. We might just get some rain after all.. Lots of lightning this evening. Got an MCV drifting right...
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tireman4
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Nice line moving into the HGX area!
davidiowx
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Haven’t had power since 3:30ish this morning.
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Katdaddy
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1.10" in W League City and the yard is happy this morning.
cperk
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Picked up 1.53 inches since about 3:30am and hoping to get more in the coming week.
JDsGN
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Just a hair under 2” here in Fairfield. Really strong thunder and lightening for hours.
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jasons2k
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Digital gauge shows 2.16” and it runs low.

Edit: emptied 2.44” from the cylinder.

A very nice start to the week of wetness!
Last edited by jasons2k on Sun May 22, 2022 12:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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djmike
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Woo hoo! 1.62” for me in Beaumont. Ill take it. Looks like you guys In HOU got a little bit more than us. Im seeing just west of Beaumont, a nice swath of 4”+. Glad we all got something and not just a teaser. Hopefully this week will help the drought and crazy temps so early this year. Happy Sunday.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Cpv17
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I got a quarter inch lol
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DoctorMu
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Close to an inch of rain here. I'll take it!. Tuesday looks wet.
Cromagnum
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If it rained at all here, I can't even tell. Nothing is wet.
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don
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The reason why areas south of I-10 haven't seen much rain is because of the drought feedback loop.Next best chance of rain will be Tuesday/Wednesday with a potent disturbance moving through on Tuesday and a frontal boundary moving through Wednesday.Wednesday may also have some severe weather as SPC has placed portions of the area in a Day 4 risk.
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 AM CDT Sun May 22 2022

Valid 251200Z - 301200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...Wednesday/Day 4 to Friday/Day 6...
An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the
southern Plains on Wednesday. Southwest mid-level flow will likely
be established ahead of the system across the lower to mid
Mississippi Valley. A moist airmass is forecast ahead of the system
from the Texas Coastal plain northeastward into the mid Mississippi
and Ohio Valleys. Thunderstorm development will be possible along
this entire corridor Wednesday afternoon. The strongest instability
is forecast to remain in the lower Mississippi Valley and central
Gulf Coast states, where there is potential for organized
convection. The most likely area for a severe threat is currently
from southeast Texas eastward across Louisiana into southwest
Mississippi, where a 15 percent contour has been added. An isolated
but marginal severe threat may also develop further north into the
and Tennessee Ohio Valleys, where instability is forecast to remain
relatively weak.
Attachments
spcd4prob.us_sc.png
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun May 22, 2022 10:50 am Close to an inch of rain here. I'll take it!. Tuesday looks wet.
I was watching that line approach College Station last night and it literally almost fell apart right before it got there lol
Stratton20
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Lol that MCS in the gulf got highlighted by the NHC with a 10% chance to develop, likely not going to happen, but still interesting to see none the less
Cpv17
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My cousin in Wharton just texted me and told me he got 4.5” and all I got was a quarter inch and he only lives about 15 miles east of me. Geez
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jasons2k
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun May 22, 2022 3:10 pm My cousin in Wharton just texted me and told me he got 4.5” and all I got was a quarter inch and he only lives about 15 miles east of me. Geez
Ouch!! Well hopefully something will come your way this week!
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