Long range model discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Sat Oct 22, 2022 9:32 am

Yep, too bad its long range, love seeing those bright purple colors spilling into the US, big arctic blast

Stratton20
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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Sat Oct 22, 2022 11:58 am

We are starting to get hints in the extended long range or 14-16 days that blocking may begin to setup in alaska, this is evident on the GFS 12z 500 mb height anomaly map, towards the end of the run very cold air starts to build up in canada, just something to watch

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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Mon Oct 31, 2022 11:40 pm

LMAO I want whatever the 00z GFS is smoking🤣🤣 almost 2 feet of snow in west texas at the end of the run

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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:51 am

Cpv17 wow the 06z GEFS is about the best run ive seen in a while if you like colder weather! Below normal throughout the entire run!

Iceresistance
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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Sun Nov 06, 2022 8:11 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:51 am
Cpv17 wow the 06z GEFS is about the best run ive seen in a while if you like colder weather! Below normal throughout the entire run!
6z GFS has snow for my area in 2 weeks! :D

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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Sun Nov 06, 2022 10:13 am

Iceresistance the 06z GFS gets very close to a winter storm setup at about days 8-10 and then mutliple rounds of arctic air throughout the remainder of its run, what an amazing run!

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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Wed Nov 16, 2022 6:01 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Sun Nov 06, 2022 10:13 am
Iceresistance the 06z GFS gets very close to a winter storm setup at about days 8-10 and then mutliple rounds of arctic air throughout the remainder of its run, what an amazing run!
And it was right! Holy cow!

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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Fri Dec 02, 2022 6:27 am

Ultra-long range 0z CFS has a insane Late December.

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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Ptarmigan » Sat Dec 03, 2022 5:14 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Fri Dec 02, 2022 6:27 am
Ultra-long range 0z CFS has a insane Late December.
I looked at Tropical Tidbits for 06Z CFS.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 306&fh=504

It forecasts cold weather around Christmas to New Years.

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Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Cpv17 » Mon Dec 05, 2022 9:24 am

Things are trending much colder as we get towards mid month. I’m kind of afraid that we might get a cooldown before Christmas and then it warms back up for Christmas. Hopefully with the -NAO locked in, it’ll have staying power.

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