Long range model discussion

[Cpv17]

Interesting. GFS now pushes most of the cold air east around Thanksgiving. The Canadian does not.

The Euro has two fronts moving through around T-giving. We'll see.

That’s so far out yet. No telling what will happen. This far out I’d ignore the operationals.

[Stratton20]

DoctorMu wouldnt trust the GFS, i would just throw it out, the GEFS does not agree with it

[DoctorMu]

Canadian and Euro proved correct yet again. It looks like extended cool weather. Limited rain chances until the Sunday after T'Giving.

[Cpv17]

Looking at some longer range guidance, I’m beginning to be intrigued about the Christmas/New Years timeframe.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 yeah the EPO really tanks, we will see about that though, so far out

[Ptarmigan]

Cpv17 yeah the EPO really tanks, we will see about that though, so far out

A tanking East Pacific Oscillation (EPO) increases chance for cold blasts. I have seen negative EPO and positive NAO and cold blasts happening.

[Stratton20]

Mid december looks interesting, some of the guidance is showing major warming in the stratosphere, if that verifies, major cold could be on the table after the 2nd week of december, also january and february are shaping up to be very very cold around here based on long range guidance

[sambucol]

Anything like the February 2021 event?

Ice? Pipe busting?

[Stratton20]

sambucol wayyy too early to speculate, all i can say is long range guidance has a setup for some real cold weather around here beyond december

[sambucol]

Pow Ponder has an interesting video. https://youtu.be/i-a8JNEfIrg?feature=shared