Long range model discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1044
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by snowman65 » Sun Sep 25, 2022 9:31 am

DoctorMu wrote:
Sun Sep 25, 2022 12:25 am
Getting serious for the FL Gulf Coast.
See how this pays out. I have relatives in Gainsville.

User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 4191
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 10:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by DoctorMu » Mon Sep 26, 2022 1:38 am

Tampa is going to get spanked.

Iceresistance
Posts: 478
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 10:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:21 pm

12z CMC has a cold blast with temperatures below freezing near Houston next week.

Stratton20
Posts: 2747
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:48 pm

Iceresistance im skeptical on that, seems way roo early for a freeze here

Iceresistance
Posts: 478
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 10:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Thu Oct 13, 2022 3:43 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:48 pm
Iceresistance im skeptical on that, seems way roo early for a freeze here
It's gone now with a freeze as far south as Northern Mississippi and Alabama

Stratton20
Posts: 2747
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Sat Oct 15, 2022 12:29 pm

Their are signs pointing that this winter could potentially be a cold one for Texas, POW Ponder made a youtube video talking about this yesterday, absolutely reliable and it was a really interesting winter outlook.

Cpv17
Posts: 3603
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 12:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Oct 16, 2022 2:33 pm

Man that’s a massive system the 12z GFS has a days 8-9. Too bad it’ll probably go away.

Stratton20
Posts: 2747
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Sun Oct 16, 2022 2:48 pm

Cpv17 probably will, but models are starting to indicate that a significant trough will drop down unto the western US by the day 7-9 period, something to watch as the GFS has some pretty chilly air behind that system

Stratton20
Posts: 2747
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Stratton20 » Mon Oct 17, 2022 1:21 am

Both the Euro and GFS indicate that a significant trough will dig down into the western US sometimes next week or in the 6-10 day window timeframe, something to watch as this trough looks to have a. pretty chilly airmass behind it
Attachments
AE01829D-44A5-4332-8E5F-85BA06813B1E.png
35F245B4-91FC-491B-AB80-6310AEE202C3.png

Iceresistance
Posts: 478
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 10:48 pm
Location: Tecumseh, OK
Contact:

Re: Long range model discussion

Post by Iceresistance » Sat Oct 22, 2022 6:33 am

6z GFS has a Sleetstorm for my area near the end of the run, it's that time of the year again.

Post Reply