Long range model discussion

[Stratton20]

captainbarbossa19 far out for sure but man most of those members are pretty strong, which isn’t surprising mainly because august-september is usually when we get stronger systems conpared to june/july which are more shared and lopsided, definitely something to watch over the next 7-10 days

Edit: 12z GEFS still has a pretty strong signal as well

[Stratton20]

Long range 00z GFS, yes this is going to change a bazillion times, mainly for fun, but it does show us that the Atlantic will be coming to life in a few weeks

[Stratton20]

Lol the 18z GFS is smoking rocks

[Stormlover2020]

Smoking rocks, could be wrong but it’s almost august it hasn’t spit out to many phantom storms in a while, heart of the season is coming up so doesn’t surprise me one bit

[Stratton20]

Stormlove2020 Oh i mean smoking rocks because it kindof just meanders the system around in the GOM while going down to the low 930’s which is cat 5,

[Stratton20]

12z GFS briefly shows a low pressure forming off the coast of Louisiana next week fwiw

[captainbarbossa19]

12z GFS briefly shows a low pressure forming off the coast of Louisiana next week fwiw

My luck it will hit Louisiana and make travel a mess for me heading to Starkville on Friday. I would rather the Gulf hold off until after I move in. Lol

[Stratton20]

captainbarbossa19 on that run the low pretty much traverses the coastline of Louisiana until getting pulled northward around vermillion bay, ICON is further south though

[Stratton20]

12z ICON with a moderate tropical storm around saturday/sunday fwiw

[Pas_Bon]

Stormlove2020 Oh i mean smoking rocks because it kindof just meanders the system around in the GOM while going down to the low 930’s which is cat 5,

Considering the GOM SST's and ENSO forecasts, I wouldn't be completely shocked by this.....