Long range model discussion
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Cpv17 yep looks like the environment might be more favorable, will have to watch and “sea”
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Mid to late June we may need to watch the tropics.
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It’s appearing to me that the western Gulf may be open for business in about 2 weeks from now.
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Cpv17 what are you seeing that may indicate that?
Long range ensembles are hinting at possible ridging developing over the southeast which would push any tc towards the western Gulf. Latest CPC 3-4 week forecast agrees with this as well.
At the same timeframe the GEFS is showing this:
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Interesting! Guess we will see how this evolves over the next 10-12 days