June 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1250 PM CDT Fri Jun 10 2022

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

VFR conditions will prevail through most of the TAF period.
Ceilings have scattered out with daytime heating and drier air
mixing in. Sea breeze will begin along the coast and push inland
throughout the day, reaching IAH by 22Z, and causing a southerly
wind shift that could be gusty at times. After sunset, gusts will
subside and winds will slowly become southwesterly again. Much
like we have seen over the past few days, MVFR ceilings will
begin shortly before sunrise tomorrow and dissipate by 15-16Z. VFR
will prevail afterwards and sea breeze will push in by tomorrow
afternoon around the same time.

Lenninger
Stratton20
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Their has been a noticeable uptick in support from todays 12z EPS, their are 51 total members, I have two pictures, last nights (00z run on the bottom had only 10/51 or so members showing this scenario , but todays 12z run on the top has 22/51 (43%)or so members on board, definitely a pretty decent increase in the 8-10 day timeframe, and yes I actually did take the time to individually count all the low pressure shown by these members lol
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Cpv17
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96°F with a heat index of 104 here in central Wharton County and that’s probably one of the cooler spots in the area lol
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DoctorMu
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Bam. 100°F here.

I don't believe we hit 100°F all last year...
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srainhoutx
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It was 48 here in the Smoky Mountains this morning. I do not miss the heat and humidity of SE TX one bit!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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jasons2k
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103 here today. Pretty darn hot.
But guess where I’m at? On my patio about to grill steaks - not inside cooped-up and freezing :)
After these steaks, time for a dip. Night swimming is awesome!
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captainbarbossa19
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jun 10, 2022 4:12 pm 96°F with a heat index of 104 here in central Wharton County and that’s probably one of the cooler spots in the area lol
Yep. We had about the same temperature today.
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DoctorMu
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I mowed the lawn late this afternoon. Weather report:

https://youtu.be/qXdmTtk1Mm4
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DoctorMu
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Hey, GFS, CMC, Ensembles are seeing some Bay of Campeche action 18th-20th, drifting NW.

Only GFS brings a stronger system with more rain near the Tex-Mex border
Stratton20
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I think the GFS is suffering from convective feedback biacy, id say development in the gulf is looking rather unlikely now, ridging looks too strong, and we stay dry for the next 10-14 days, what a miserable pattern
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