June 2022

[DoctorMu]

Big shift west on the 18Z ICON.Now has a landfall of a weak tropical storm around Matagorda. Looks more in line with the other models now.

Then go North to Northwest!

[captainbarbossa19]

This system sure isn't going to be moving fast. It takes from Thursday afternoon to Saturday morning for the low to get to NE Texas on the Euro.

[DoctorMu]

The EURO shows some nice rainfall totals from the system.

:pray

That would be nice!

[DoctorMu]

Well that qpf gives everyone but Beaumont a good chance of rain. Itll be my luck…

At least your area benefited from some of the popup storms that blew through the border over the last week. Most of us haven't seen a drop in weeks.

Hopefully this system can halt the desert feedback loop and open the door for a more "normal" rainfall pattern.

No rain in a month here.

[Stratton20]

captainbarbossa19 yep a slower system would be beneficial but also the flooding potential would also go up

[DoctorMu]

102°F with winds N20 G30. How is that even possible? lol.

[Cromagnum]

102°F with winds N20 G30. How is that even possible? lol.

Dang. Blow dryer.

[DoctorMu]

HRRR has a nice scattering of showers south of 10 for later this afternoon.

Can you post the HRRR for this afternoon/evening?

That's really close for today's rain distribution.

[captainbarbossa19]

18z GFS is stronger and further north than 12z.

[Stratton20]

captainbarbossa19 i dont see much of a difference on this run

[captainbarbossa19]

captainbarbossa19 i dont see much of a difference on this run

Look at 850mb vorticity. The center is more consolidated and slightly stronger. The track is about the same.

[Stormlover2020]

I would be watching the hRR right now with home Brew systems it’s really time radar to watch

[jasons2k]

0.00”

[Cromagnum]

I would be watching the hRR right now with home Brew systems it’s really time radar to watch

Yeah...I'm watching everything miss us west.

[davidiowx]

What a crock of you know what.. It POURED at work and I get home to ZERO at my house. Go Figure!

[Stratton20]

8 Pm NHC update still at 20%, they really arent budging lol

[captainbarbossa19]

8 Pm NHC update still at 20%, they really arent budging lol

They didn't budge with Imelda either until it was practically a depression.

[Katdaddy]

0.00" in W League City but glad to see some got very well needed rainfall today.

[Kingwood32]

I don't think they will raise it..they must not be seeing it or believing the models

[captainbarbossa19]

I don't think they will raise it..they must not be seeing it or believing the models

They will almost have to raise it if it starts developing though. A lot can change overnight, let alone days.