June 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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txbear wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:25 pm meso low south of galveston?

looks like it's going to be high and dry on the west side unless something drastic changes.
Looking at the radar loops back Texas looks depressing. It’s consolidating SE of most of us. Nauseating.
cperk
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davidiowx wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:17 pm
cperk wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:15 pm I just checked the NWS website and we are under a flood warning through Friday.
That would be a Flood Watch, not a Warning. ;)
I stand corrected thanks :)
Cromagnum
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It's infuriating that the last few days all the rain was west of us, and now it's all east of us. Then they hoist a flood watch in the area that hasn't received any rain at all, and by the looks of the radar, still won't.
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don
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Thats a meso low near Galveston...2pm update
1. Western Gulf of Mexico:
Recent satellite and radar imagery indicate that showers and
thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the
southern coast of Texas have changed little in organization since
this morning. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly northward
and inland over southeastern Texas later today. Slow development of
this system is possible while the low remains over water and it
could still become a short-lived tropical depression before it moves
inland. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along
portions of the Texas coast for the next two days. For more
information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products
issued by your National Weather Service office. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter plane is currently enroute to investigate the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Stratton20
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What an absolute bust, one of the worst ive seen in a long time, and a heat ridge builds in this weekend, imagine having a near tropical depression just off the texas coast and we cant get any rain from it
Kingwood32
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Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
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tireman4
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:32 pm What an absolute bust, one of the worst ive seen in a long time, and a heat ridge builds in this weekend, imagine having a near tropical depression just off the texas coast and we cant get any rain from it


You maybe too young to remember this, but Tropical Storm Don, in 2011, was a complete bust. At least some folks are getting rain. The Death Heat Ridge of High Pressure completely destroyed it as it was making landfall near Corpus. No one got any rain.
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captainbarbossa19
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Kingwood32 wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.
Cromagnum
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captainbarbossa19 wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:24 pm
Kingwood32 wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.
Based on what though? The circulation center and all associated rain is very visibly off to the east now.
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captainbarbossa19
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:28 pm
captainbarbossa19 wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:24 pm
Kingwood32 wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.
Based on what though? The circulation center and all associated rain is very visibly off to the east now.
That's just a mesovort. A weak circulation is still located east of Corpus Christi. It will move onshore most likely early tomorrow morning. The current storms east of Houston will likely diminish due to DMIN and then refire towards daybreak. That is why the NWS likely issued a flood watch.
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