June 2022
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I bet we have tropical storm/depression this week
Expect chances of development to go up today... The conservative EURO finally shows shows TC genesis in its 6Z run this morning.It has a Tropical Storm making landfall near Matagorda.
Last edited by don on Mon Jun 27, 2022 8:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
Well again it’s looking more and more like bulk of the showers stay off shore till at least Thursday. Rain chances lowered here in Beaumont till Thursday. Hopefully this changes but Im not holding my breath. My Opinion Only.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Where does the low trek after Matagorda? If it treks close enough and we remain on the right side, we may get enough rain but again, anyones guess…
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Nearly all models have the "dirty side" and area of most precip over SE Texas.
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Chances weren't raised still 10% and 20%
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I say it will go up to 30 percent later than 50 by wed morning
Yeah i wasn't expecting them to raise it this morning.They still want to see 12Z model runs im sure before raising it probably this afternoon or evening.Hopefully we get an invest today also.
Rain chances down to 30% and not until late this afternoon. Based on the large plume of moisture digging southwest offshore, I'm betting we see nothing until Wednesday or Thursday.
Last edited by Cromagnum on Mon Jun 27, 2022 9:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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So much for a wet week....isolated to scattered type showers with a few rumbles of thunder. Consider yourself lucky if you have one sit on top of you. At least the temps will be down a little.
It was always suppose to be scattered storms.If you want widespread rain you'll have to wait to see how the tropical feature evolves later this week...redneckweather wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 10:02 am So much for a wet week....isolated to scattered type showers with a few rumbles of thunder. Consider yourself lucky if you have one sit on top of you. At least the temps will be down a little.
Most of the mesos have sparse rain over the next few days. This is about the most optimistic.
Makes since as the TC is absorbing all the moisture away.BTW there is a rapid increase in convection south of Louisiana this morning with a broad circulation forming.
I’m in Santa Fe. The cloud cover is amazing.
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