June 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Don I agree that map sure does look good! Fingers crossed everyone gets some beneficial rain next week, will see about TC development though
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jasons2k
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don wrote: Tue Jun 21, 2022 11:58 am
Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jun 21, 2022 11:52 am GFS doesnt really show much of anything next week with the surface low, we will see what the CMC and Euro have to say though
GFS looks pretty good even without showing the surface low it has a decent amount of moisture with the frontal boundary next week.
Green dot right over my house. That’s probably what will happen too. :D
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Rip76
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Second bit of rain for Friendswood today.
JDsGN
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I didn't see anybody mention it but we had a cell blow up right over my neighborhood in Cypress (Fairfield) just east of 99 yesterday evening. My son and I had just left for a bike ride and were about a mile or so from home and it just unleashed out of nowhere. High winds, thunder, lightening, and very heavy rains. Over 1" in a 20 minute span and a couple more tenths over 30 minutes as it died down. Felt really lucky to get that but it was a bit scary making our way home in the lightening and winds with a 6 year old.
Kingwood32
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I had a dark cloud here at work in rosharon and I seen about 6 sprinkles on the drive way..that was it lol
Stratton20
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FWIW the 12 z Euro also tries to develope a weak system like the ICON as its heads towards northern mexico/ south texas
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djmike
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Jackpot in Beaumont. Picked up almost 1”. Feels ao good outside now. Can we just skip over this next few days already?
A04AEF42-BFE3-440F-BD4B-E55D94ABA61E.jpeg
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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DoctorMu
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djmike wrote: Tue Jun 21, 2022 3:23 pm Jackpot in Beaumont. Picked up almost 1”. Feels ao good outside now. Can we just skip over this next few days already?A04AEF42-BFE3-440F-BD4B-E55D94ABA61E.jpeg
Nice!

There's a weakening cell within about 3 miles from home. The AggieDome (ridge) will probably block it. I'm heading home from A&M. Maybe a surprise?

or another Lucy.
Stratton20
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DoctorMu the AggieDome? Now thats a first 😆😆
Cromagnum
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Got about 6 inches of rain at home according to the wife. Driveway had wet spots 6 inches apart.
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jasons2k
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Nice cells in Liberty County....will probably pass *just* to the north by a hair. We'll see if they can build to the south and west just a little bit more but I'm not exactly holding my breath.
davidiowx
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I washed my truck yesterday after work and then today I got a one minute sprinkle at work. I go outside and my truck has sand all over it. Guess I’ll be washing my truck again this weekend and hope it brings some rain for everyone!
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don
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0Z ICON still showing TC development with next weeks surface low FWIW.
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Stratton20
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Looks like a weak tropical storm on that run
Stratton20
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00z Euro tries to close off a weak low before approaching Texas next week, looks like just a weak vorticity signature right now
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djmike
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Im sure many of us wouldn’t mind a weak tropical storm right about now or especially after this week. Bring it!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Stratton20
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12z ICON still develop a closed low next week FWIW, but it is the ICON lol, not buying it until other models really jump on board, if they even do at all, regardless it looks like some badly needed rain is on the way! Fingers crossed folks
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djmike
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Man the 12z Icon Low would be perfect placement if it verified for some very badly needed Tx rain.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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captainbarbossa19
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12z GFS looks really good for rain over the next 10 days. Hopefully the Euro likes the same idea.
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don
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Sure does look good indeed, it also shows the low level vorticity some of the other models have been picking up on.But keeps it partially inland riding the coast of Louisiana and moving west into Texas which helps to enhance rainfall with the stalled frontal boundary.
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Screenshot 2022-06-22 at 11-54-27 Models GFS — Pivotal Weather.png
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