June 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
mcheer23
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 530
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
Contact:

Not sure why chances are still at 10/20. I have them at 30/50 right now.
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

mcheer23 they are pretty conservative, i would be shocked if they dont up the development odds at the 2 pm outlook
TexasBreeze
Posts: 942
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
Location: NW Houston, TX
Contact:

don wrote: Mon Jun 27, 2022 10:59 am Makes since as the TC is absorbing all the moisture away.BTW there is a rapid increase in convection south of Louisiana this morning with a broad circulation forming.
Is that the area to watch? I noticed that a bit ago there
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

TexasBreeze wrote: Mon Jun 27, 2022 11:17 am
don wrote: Mon Jun 27, 2022 10:59 am Makes since as the TC is absorbing all the moisture away.BTW there is a rapid increase in convection south of Louisiana this morning with a broad circulation forming.
Is that the area to watch? I noticed that a bit ago there
Yes that's the area that will slowly move west over the next couple of days.
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

It definitely appears a broad circulation is attempting to form like Don said, interesting days ahead
User avatar
captainbarbossa19
Posts: 400
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2021 2:50 pm
Location: Starkville, MS
Contact:

mcheer23 wrote: Mon Jun 27, 2022 11:05 am Not sure why chances are still at 10/20. I have them at 30/50 right now.
They have the other wave east of 94L with identical chances over 5 days even though it has less model support. Real-time trends show increasing vorticity over the Gulf at 925 and 850mb. Imo, I agree the chances should be higher than 10/20 at this point.
mcheer23
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 530
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
Contact:

New update...still 20 percent...
Kingwood32
Posts: 31
Joined: Sun Sep 28, 2014 2:58 pm
Contact:

mcheer23 wrote: Mon Jun 27, 2022 1:13 pm New update...still 20 percent...
They must know something we don't lol...
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

12Z Euro went back to showing a Tropical Low or Depression.
mcheer23
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 530
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
Contact:

don wrote: Mon Jun 27, 2022 1:37 pm 12Z Euro went back to showing a Tropical Low or Depression.
Yup, nice rainfall totals though. Widespread 3-5 inches on the west side. Isolated 6+
Last edited by mcheer23 on Mon Jun 27, 2022 1:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], Bing [Bot] and 55 guests