don wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 10:59 am
Makes since as the TC is absorbing all the moisture away.BTW there is a rapid increase in convection south of Louisiana this morning with a broad circulation forming.
Is that the area to watch? I noticed that a bit ago there
don wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 10:59 am
Makes since as the TC is absorbing all the moisture away.BTW there is a rapid increase in convection south of Louisiana this morning with a broad circulation forming.
Is that the area to watch? I noticed that a bit ago there
Yes that's the area that will slowly move west over the next couple of days.
mcheer23 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 11:05 am
Not sure why chances are still at 10/20. I have them at 30/50 right now.
They have the other wave east of 94L with identical chances over 5 days even though it has less model support. Real-time trends show increasing vorticity over the Gulf at 925 and 850mb. Imo, I agree the chances should be higher than 10/20 at this point.