July 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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captainbarbossa19 well fingers crossed the models trend wetter for us, supposed to hit 105 tommorow and potentially up to 108 early next week, absolutely brutal
Cpv17
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100° here with a feels like of 107°.. terrible.
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djmike
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Unfortunately according to the latest QPF, Beaumont eastward seems to be good on the upcoming moisture next week. There must be that wall between Beaumont and Houston. Trust me if I could send some yalls way I definitely would. 😔
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Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
cperk
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My weather station is reading 104 degrees this place is a sinking hell hole. :evil:
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Summer sucks y’all. I escaped to Nashville for the weekend but it isn’t a ton better here. It did rain yesterday though.
Team #NeverSummer
Stratton20
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That is the most depressing QPF map ive ever seen, look at all that color in Lousiana 😢😢😆😆 compared to that light green here, can we skip to winter please? I like Montgomery Cow am team winter!😆😆
user:null
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According to the S2K thread, even parts of Florida have been bone dry — specifically, areas of Boca Raton in SE FL have not seen rain since early June, and posters there have been complaining about brown, crispy lawns as well. Something is breaking down...
Stratton20
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Next week continues to trend drier on the 00z Models… Looks like Lousiana and points east will get all the action leaving us high and dry yet again
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 11:39 pm Next week continues to trend drier on the 00z Models… Looks like Lousiana and points east will get all the action leaving us high and dry yet again
Pay attention to the SOI. It’s been trending down lately which is a good sign. Hopefully that continues.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 how does the SOI affect precipitation?
redneckweather
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0.00"
Kingwood32
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Who wants to place bets on when we get our first real cold front of the season? I'm ready..summer can suck it
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 11:46 pm Cpv17 how does the SOI affect precipitation?
All I know is that when the SOI goes negative it does something to the Pacific Ocean that makes it more favorable for rain for us. Opposite when positive which is what it is now. SOI stands for southern oscillation index. It plays a big role with La Niña and El Niño.
Cpv17
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The Gulf is boiling:

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Gonna be bad if a storm gets in there with favorable conditions. It’s also really deep so there won’t be much upwelling.
Cpv17
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This is interesting to me:

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captainbarbossa19
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I'm starting to think that this season we will have to watch for tropical impacts from a hurricane. This year has vibes of 1961, 1980, and 2008. I would include 2011, but that year was much worse at this point compared to now with drought conditions.
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DoctorMu
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captainbarbossa19 wrote: Sat Jul 09, 2022 3:52 pm I'm starting to think that this season we will have to watch for tropical impacts from a hurricane. This year has vibes of 1961, 1980, and 2008. I would include 2011, but that year was much worse at this point compared to now with drought conditions.
Yep. More famine. then flood.

Count on it.
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captainbarbossa19
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DoctorMu wrote: Sat Jul 09, 2022 3:54 pm
captainbarbossa19 wrote: Sat Jul 09, 2022 3:52 pm I'm starting to think that this season we will have to watch for tropical impacts from a hurricane. This year has vibes of 1961, 1980, and 2008. I would include 2011, but that year was much worse at this point compared to now with drought conditions.
Yep. More famine. then flood.

Count on it.
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Stratton20
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Hopefully no major hurricane problems here, obviously cant put too much stock into that though, we got so lucky with Laura and delta just missing us , we will see
Stratton20
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Also their is alot of support from the EPS for a gulf system next week potentially because of a stalled front, unfortunately most of the guidance takes whatever forms off to the Northeast because of a trough, its going to be a hot and dry week next week
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