July 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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July 2022

Post by tireman4 » Tue Jun 14, 2022 3:49 pm

Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned

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captainbarbossa19
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Re: July 2022

Post by captainbarbossa19 » Tue Jun 14, 2022 5:04 pm

tireman4 wrote:
Tue Jun 14, 2022 3:49 pm
Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned
Since June has been dry so far, historically that would indicate a wetter July. Usually either June is wet or July. Sometimes, both are dry, but that is less common.

Stratton20
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Re: July 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Tue Jun 14, 2022 5:06 pm

captainbarbossa19 their is some hope on the 18z GFS, it does start to weaken the death ridge by next weekend, perheps giving us a break from this heatwave

CrashTestDummy
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Re: July 2022

Post by CrashTestDummy » Sun Jun 26, 2022 11:33 am

captainbarbossa19 wrote:
Tue Jun 14, 2022 5:04 pm
tireman4 wrote:
Tue Jun 14, 2022 3:49 pm
Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned
Since June has been dry so far, historically that would indicate a wetter July. Usually either June is wet or July. Sometimes, both are dry, but that is less common.
TV Mets are saying that it's looking like a return to 'more normal' summertime weather, with 20-30% chance of afternoon showers and t-storms from daytime warming. Fingers crossed.
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas

"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."

mcheer23
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Re: July 2022

Post by mcheer23 » Tue Jun 28, 2022 12:44 pm

CMC throws a tropical storm toward TX/LA in 10 days. Unlikely, but something to watch.

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don
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Re: July 2022

Post by don » Thu Jun 30, 2022 8:46 am

Looks like we may already have another system to watch as we enter July. The GFS has been bringing the tropical wave behind PTC 2 into the western Gulf FWIW.

Stratton20
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Re: July 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Thu Jun 30, 2022 10:01 am

Yep GFS has been hinting at that, we will see if any other models start showing that wave getting into the gom

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Re: July 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:52 pm

I really don’t see much on the GFS..

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Re: July 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:56 pm

Regardless of any tropical mischief the 12z GFS keeps at least a daily chance (20-30%) of showers/storms beyond this week with potentially another back door front around 9 days from now with another wet pattern setting up potentially

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don
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Re: July 2022

Post by don » Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:48 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:52 pm
I really don’t see much on the GFS..
The GFS was showing the wave becoming a TC for a few runs.It backed off on that with today's runs though.

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