July 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Ended up getting .35” today. Nice little rain.
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jasons2k
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Sure enough, Lucy trolls again. 0.00” with lots of thunder nearby.
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DoctorMu
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A cell tantalizingly close (<10 mi away) but sliding to our NE as today's sea breeze has more of a NE trajectory instead of NNW per usual.

No cigar as usual. We can see the rain in the distance, almost taste it...
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 4:51 pm Ended up getting .35” today. Nice little rain.
Nice. Send some our way!
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srainhoutx
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I know you SE TX folk are needing a bunch of rain, the Smoky Mountains are living up to its name after a nice long thundershower. Fall is just around the corner and fingers crossed cooler air and much needed rainfall comes your way!
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JDsGN
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3 days this week now with storms less than 2-3 miles away. Dark outside and 30-40 minutes of thunder and it just misses us in Fairfield. 99 seems to be a barrier line. Disappointing to say the least.
Cpv17
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JDsGN wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 8:56 pm 3 days this week now with storms less than 2-3 miles away. Dark outside and 30-40 minutes of thunder and it just misses us in Fairfield. 99 seems to be a barrier line. Disappointing to say the least.
Good thing is there looks to be decent chances for rain almost every day this upcoming week. 20-40% chances.
DavidH
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srainhoutx wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 8:00 pm I know you SE TX folk are needing a bunch of rain, the Smoky Mountains are living up to its name after a nice long thundershower. Fall is just around the corner and fingers crossed cooler air and much needed rainfall comes your way!
Good to hear from you. Looks WAY green over there.
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jasons2k
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DavidH wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 9:55 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 8:00 pm I know you SE TX folk are needing a bunch of rain, the Smoky Mountains are living up to its name after a nice long thundershower. Fall is just around the corner and fingers crossed cooler air and much needed rainfall comes your way!
Good to hear from you. Looks WAY green over there.
Yes, thanks for posting! It’s beautiful! Some day I will escape also!
ajurcat
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Well, I washed my car today so hopefully we will get some rain.
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djmike
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Well today was a whole lot of nothing. For anyone. Looks to be a better chance Monday with 50% here in Beaumont. QPF Update map looks promising for SETX for the next 7. Best I’ve seen in months. Includes much of Texas actually.
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Stratton20
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The donut hole is shrinking!😆😆😆😁😁
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I've never been entirely sure if the rainfall maxes seen out in the SW US/NW Mexico are focused specifically in elevated/mountain areas (as opposed to overspreading the entire area). If so, then Texas donut hole is merely an illusion.
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DoctorMu
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srainhoutx wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 8:00 pm I know you SE TX folk are needing a bunch of rain, the Smoky Mountains are living up to its name after a nice long thundershower. Fall is just around the corner and fingers crossed cooler air and much needed rainfall comes your way!
haha Wish I were there. No sprinklers running. A/C barely running. Green grass and plants! :lol:
Cpv17
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As long as the EPAC remains active, we won’t have to really worry about a thing in the Atlantic basin. I do believe during the 11th through 20th timeframe we will see Danielle form though.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 the EPAC will likely begin to slow down in the next 3 weeks or so, i expect the atlantic will begin to get active around the 15th and beyond, we could really use a depression or tropical storm here, obviously dont want a hurricane though, this quiet stretch is going to fool a lot of folks
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jul 31, 2022 7:32 pm Cpv17 the EPAC will likely begin to slow down in the next 3 weeks or so, i expect the atlantic will begin to get active around the 15th and beyond, we could really use a depression or tropical storm here, obviously dont want a hurricane though, this quiet stretch is going to fool a lot of folks
This is the most bored I’ve been with the weather since 2011. Just an unbelievably stubborn pattern we’re in. F this La Niña!!
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DoctorMu
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The smallest donut hole I could find on the models.

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DoctorMu
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FWIW, NWS is still sticking to a south Texas weak tropical system. Very outside chance of rain for us.
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Stratton20
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Cpv17 I couldnt agree more! Every time I look at the models, its like 😴😴😴 , absolutely nothing, this la nina sucks for sure
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