July 2022

[tireman4]

Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned

[captainbarbossa19]

Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned

Since June has been dry so far, historically that would indicate a wetter July. Usually either June is wet or July. Sometimes, both are dry, but that is less common.

[Stratton20]

captainbarbossa19 their is some hope on the 18z GFS, it does start to weaken the death ridge by next weekend, perheps giving us a break from this heatwave

[CrashTestDummy]

Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned

Since June has been dry so far, historically that would indicate a wetter July. Usually either June is wet or July. Sometimes, both are dry, but that is less common.

TV Mets are saying that it's looking like a return to 'more normal' summertime weather, with 20-30% chance of afternoon showers and t-storms from daytime warming. Fingers crossed.

[mcheer23]

CMC throws a tropical storm toward TX/LA in 10 days. Unlikely, but something to watch.

[don]

Looks like we may already have another system to watch as we enter July. The GFS has been bringing the tropical wave behind PTC 2 into the western Gulf FWIW.

[Stratton20]

Yep GFS has been hinting at that, we will see if any other models start showing that wave getting into the gom

[Cpv17]

I really don’t see much on the GFS..

[Stratton20]

Regardless of any tropical mischief the 12z GFS keeps at least a daily chance (20-30%) of showers/storms beyond this week with potentially another back door front around 9 days from now with another wet pattern setting up potentially

[don]

I really don’t see much on the GFS..

The GFS was showing the wave becoming a TC for a few runs.It backed off on that with today's runs though.