July 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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djmike
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Re: July 2022

Post by djmike » Sun Jul 31, 2022 4:10 pm

Well today was a whole lot of nothing. For anyone. Looks to be a better chance Monday with 50% here in Beaumont. QPF Update map looks promising for SETX for the next 7. Best I’ve seen in months. Includes much of Texas actually.
26A86829-D3EA-4875-856D-3D246004BE5B.jpeg
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)

Stratton20
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Re: July 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Sun Jul 31, 2022 4:26 pm

The donut hole is shrinking!😆😆😆😁😁

user:null
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Re: July 2022

Post by user:null » Sun Jul 31, 2022 5:08 pm

I've never been entirely sure if the rainfall maxes seen out in the SW US/NW Mexico are focused specifically in elevated/mountain areas (as opposed to overspreading the entire area). If so, then Texas donut hole is merely an illusion.

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DoctorMu
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Re: July 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:10 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Sat Jul 30, 2022 7:00 pm
I know you SE TX folk are needing a bunch of rain, the Smoky Mountains are living up to its name after a nice long thundershower. Fall is just around the corner and fingers crossed cooler air and much needed rainfall comes your way!
haha Wish I were there. No sprinklers running. A/C barely running. Green grass and plants! :lol:

Cpv17
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Re: July 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:27 pm

As long as the EPAC remains active, we won’t have to really worry about a thing in the Atlantic basin. I do believe during the 11th through 20th timeframe we will see Danielle form though.

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Re: July 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:32 pm

Cpv17 the EPAC will likely begin to slow down in the next 3 weeks or so, i expect the atlantic will begin to get active around the 15th and beyond, we could really use a depression or tropical storm here, obviously dont want a hurricane though, this quiet stretch is going to fool a lot of folks

Cpv17
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Re: July 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:48 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:32 pm
Cpv17 the EPAC will likely begin to slow down in the next 3 weeks or so, i expect the atlantic will begin to get active around the 15th and beyond, we could really use a depression or tropical storm here, obviously dont want a hurricane though, this quiet stretch is going to fool a lot of folks
This is the most bored I’ve been with the weather since 2011. Just an unbelievably stubborn pattern we’re in. F this La Niña!!

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DoctorMu
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Re: July 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:51 pm

The smallest donut hole I could find on the models.

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DoctorMu
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Re: July 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:56 pm

FWIW, NWS is still sticking to a south Texas weak tropical system. Very outside chance of rain for us.
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Stratton20
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Re: July 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Sun Jul 31, 2022 7:00 pm

Cpv17 I couldnt agree more! Every time I look at the models, its like 😴😴😴 , absolutely nothing, this la nina sucks for sure

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