July 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned
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captainbarbossa19
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tireman4 wrote: Tue Jun 14, 2022 4:49 pm Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned
Since June has been dry so far, historically that would indicate a wetter July. Usually either June is wet or July. Sometimes, both are dry, but that is less common.
Stratton20
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captainbarbossa19 their is some hope on the 18z GFS, it does start to weaken the death ridge by next weekend, perheps giving us a break from this heatwave
CrashTestDummy
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captainbarbossa19 wrote: Tue Jun 14, 2022 6:04 pm
tireman4 wrote: Tue Jun 14, 2022 4:49 pm Will it be wet? Will it be dry? Stay tuned
Since June has been dry so far, historically that would indicate a wetter July. Usually either June is wet or July. Sometimes, both are dry, but that is less common.
TV Mets are saying that it's looking like a return to 'more normal' summertime weather, with 20-30% chance of afternoon showers and t-storms from daytime warming. Fingers crossed.
Gene Beaird,
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mcheer23
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CMC throws a tropical storm toward TX/LA in 10 days. Unlikely, but something to watch.
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don
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Looks like we may already have another system to watch as we enter July. The GFS has been bringing the tropical wave behind PTC 2 into the western Gulf FWIW.
Stratton20
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Yep GFS has been hinting at that, we will see if any other models start showing that wave getting into the gom
Cpv17
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I really don’t see much on the GFS..
Stratton20
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Regardless of any tropical mischief the 12z GFS keeps at least a daily chance (20-30%) of showers/storms beyond this week with potentially another back door front around 9 days from now with another wet pattern setting up potentially
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don
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:52 pm I really don’t see much on the GFS..
The GFS was showing the wave becoming a TC for a few runs.It backed off on that with today's runs though.
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