July 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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don
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Had a decent soaking here as a small cell formed and rained itself out over the area.
Cromagnum
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 4:09 pm Can’t seem to get anything to sustain along that sea breeze and move up here before collapsing. Still some time to work with but the window is closing.

Looks like Cromagnum got some rain..

And maybe, just maybe some down in Wharton will fall.
We got a half inch in two bursts. I'll take anything.
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jasons2k
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That so-called influx of moisture today was a sick joke.

It’s 5:38 and the radar scope is almost clear. Pathetic. Well off to another week of hell. Maybe next weekend we’ll finally see something.
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captainbarbossa19
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 6:02 pm That so-called influx of moisture today was a sick joke.

It’s 5:38 and the radar scope is almost clear. Pathetic. Well off to another week of hell. Maybe next weekend we’ll finally see something.
Yep. 25% of my grass at the farm is dead now. It's only going to get worse until it finally rains.
Stratton20
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what a massive troll by the 18z GFS toward the end of its run, widespread heavy rain for all of SE texas, really sucks that is in fantasyland though
davidiowx
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 6:02 pm That so-called influx of moisture today was a sick joke.

It’s 5:38 and the radar scope is almost clear. Pathetic. Well off to another week of hell. Maybe next weekend we’ll finally see something.
Man it sucks. I was fortunate yesterday and got .13 today so far with another cell blowing up just south of me that should bring me more.

I literally watered my grass three times a week and my gardens daily, often twice daily. Kept the yard alive and green compared to other yards but never really had to mow. I swear my grass grew an inch since yesterday.
cperk
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I just got .75 inches that with another .50 i got a few days ago gives me 1.25 inches for the week Yay.
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jasons2k
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My brother-in-law drove into Amarillo today. Sent me a photo of the Amarillo sign and there was green grass all behind it.

Then he sent me this…in Amarillo!!
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captainbarbossa19
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 10:29 pm My brother-in-law drove into Amarillo today. Sent me a photo of the Amarillo sign and there was green grass all behind it.

Then he sent me this…in Amarillo!!
I'm in "believe it when I see it" mode, but the GFS and Euro are both trending a lot wetter over the next 10 days. 12z Euro shows widespread 1-2 inches over the next 10 days. On the 0z GFS, it is showing 1-3 inches with isolated 5+. That is a step in the right direction.
Stratton20
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captainbarbossa19 that is a huge step in the right direction potentially!
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jasons2k
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I have a dozen people coming over today for a pool party. Awfully cloudy…
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Jul 29, 2022 10:29 pm My brother-in-law drove into Amarillo today. Sent me a photo of the Amarillo sign and there was green grass all behind it.

Then he sent me this…in Amarillo!!
Monsoon season, thanks to our Death Ridge. :lol:
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DoctorMu
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August, btw, is the "rainiest" month in Amarillo. July and June are close behind. Nov - Feb is arid/dry season.
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DoctorMu
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I anticipate a more "normal" August, which still means near 100°F and not much rain in the Brazos Valley.
Stratton20
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Noaa 8-14 day outlook still calling for above normal precipitation,12 z GFS has a tropical system coming towards texas in the latter half of the 8-14 day window, we shall see
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Cpv17
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Finally getting a shower over here!! Nothing heavy but I’ll take it.
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DoctorMu
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Ground Hog Day: Radar looks suspiciously like the last 2 days. Predicting either a Brazos County block and/or the donut hole again.
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jul 30, 2022 2:38 pm Noaa 8-14 day outlook still calling for above normal precipitation,12 z GFS has a tropical system coming towards texas in the latter half of the 8-14 day window, we shall see
It's not raining until the first day of Fall classes.

At least football practice begins this week!
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DoctorMu
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The seabreeze is already hitting the wall this afternoon. Lucy is not even going to tease us.

I've pretty much given up on measurable rain until school begins, and only then by a great flood cause by a tropical system...
Stratton20
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DoctorMu it always seems like we go through these long periods of drier/ hotter than normal weather only to have the drought ended by a big flooding event, but yeah the sea breeze definitely wont help us,
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