August 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy😏😏 medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
Pas_Bon
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy😏😏 medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.

I don't even trust the radar anymore. :|
Cromagnum
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Pas_Bon wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy😏😏 medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.

I don't even trust the radar anymore. :|
Until I see water splashing on my wet lawn, I don't believe anything.
Stratton20
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Hey im just saying the pattern ahead looks good, didnt say anyone is guaranteed to see any rain though haha
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jasons2k
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Look at the lack of cumulus clouds downstream from the lakes and Galveston Bay. This has to be a factor in our local ‘dead zone.’
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cperk
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Pas_Bon wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy😏😏 medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.

I don't even trust the radar anymore. :|
I feel the same way.
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captainbarbossa19
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jasons2k wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:00 pm Look at the lack of cumulus clouds downstream from the lakes and Galveston Bay. This has to be a factor in our local ‘dead zone.’
That feature is present everyday but the cloud-free zone changes according to wind direction. If winds are SW, the cloud-free zone is to the NE etc.
mcheer23
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Moderate risk of Tropical Development.....
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Stratton20
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12z Nam runs interestingly try to develop a surface low off the Texas coast before moving in land at hour 84 fwiw, has some pretty heavy totals, but off shore though
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jasons2k
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Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just can’t sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort. :roll: :roll: :roll:

Before:
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After:
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jasons2k
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Maybe something for later?
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Cpv17
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jasons2k wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just can’t sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort. :roll: :roll: :roll:

Before:

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After:

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You’ll probably get some rain Thursday or Friday. Hopefully.
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 7:20 pm Holy smokes its raining here in CS!!!! I can confirm water is now falling from
the sky!!😄😄😄😄😄🥲🥲
That cell jumped right over our house. Not a drop.
Stratton20
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DoctorMu i got about 5 minutes of light to occasionally moderate rain, doupy it accumulated to much though
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jasons2k
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Cpv17 wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 3:10 pm
jasons2k wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just can’t sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort. :roll: :roll: :roll:

Before:

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After:

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You’ll probably get some rain Thursday or Friday. Hopefully.

Yeah was supposed to last Thursday or Friday too…

I hope we do but I’ll believe it when I see it.

Lucy is trolling me big time at the moment. Cells very close but anything headed this way want to keep collapsing.
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jasons2k
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Wispy cloud tops now. Poof, as usual.
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DoctorMu
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A brief show at A&M. Not sure about home. Unlikely per radar.
Cpv17
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Showers popping up all around me but nothing but a couple sprinkles at my house. Been hearing thunder off and on for over an hour now.
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jasons2k
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This means everything in today’s AFD:
If these trends do unfold
IF…there’s that word again.
davidiowx
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I can’t complain considering I’ve had an inch or so in the last two weeks. Barely at 10” on the year which is atrocious. Literally had big storms every direction and barley got spit on here. I’ll take the clouds though. Hope the rest of this week is better for all of us.
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