August 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Re: August 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:21 am

Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals

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Re: August 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:27 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:21 am
Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals
Probably will have to start watching the creeks and bayous if that verifies.

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snowman65
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Re: August 2022

Post by snowman65 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:38 am

what in the harvey hell is going on here???
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Cromagnum
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Re: August 2022

Post by Cromagnum » Wed Aug 31, 2022 9:20 am

Great weather this morning to get eyes on the old Battleship making its way to Galveston. Saw these pics elsewhere.

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mcheer23
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Re: August 2022

Post by mcheer23 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 10:48 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:27 am
Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:21 am
Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals
Probably will have to start watching the creeks and bayous if that verifies.
I believe CMC and EURO are bringing moisture in from what is likely to be Hurricane Kay over the eastern pacific.

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Re: August 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 10:53 am

mcheer23 wrote:
Wed Aug 31, 2022 10:48 am
Cpv17 wrote:
Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:27 am
Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Aug 31, 2022 8:21 am
Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals
Probably will have to start watching the creeks and bayous if that verifies.
I believe CMC and EURO are bringing moisture in from what is likely to be Hurricane Kay over the eastern pacific.
Yep! Mid to late next week it looks like. Plus another dose of Gulf moisture coming in on Friday and increasing through the weekend.

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Re: August 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 10:59 am

12z CMC, definitely a little concerned about the flooding potential next week
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Re: August 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 11:05 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Aug 31, 2022 10:59 am
12z CMC, definitely a little concerned about the flooding potential next week
And these are the global models showing that much. Imagine what the mesoscale models will show when we get closer.

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Re: August 2022

Post by mcheer23 » Wed Aug 31, 2022 11:16 am

GFS doesn't show much because it has future Hurricane Kay hitting to the left of Baja California.

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don
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Re: August 2022

Post by don » Wed Aug 31, 2022 11:28 am

From HGX discussion this morning those precipitable waters this weekend are TC territory PWATS...


The probability of precipitation progressively increases Friday night
into early next week as a backdoor frontal boundary moves through
and becomes quasi-stationary along the coast. Global models still
differ on the evolution and strength of some mesoscale features;
however, models keep suggesting an increase in moisture with PWATS
around 2.3-2.5 inches through early next week. These values are
well above normal (above the median moving average) for late
August standards; suggesting locally moderate to heavy rain,
particularly along the boundary. Have increased PoPs to 50-70
percent mainly for Saturday and Sunday with the best chances south
of I-10.


Rain and storm chances Monday through Wednesday will generally
revolve around the the quasi-stationary boundary meandering along
the coast and slowly moving inland/northward.
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Last edited by don on Wed Aug 31, 2022 11:29 am, edited 1 time in total.

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