August 2022

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals

Probably will have to start watching the creeks and bayous if that verifies.

[snowman65]

what in the harvey hell is going on here???

[Cromagnum]

Great weather this morning to get eyes on the old Battleship making its way to Galveston. Saw these pics elsewhere.

[mcheer23]

Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals

Probably will have to start watching the creeks and bayous if that verifies.

I believe CMC and EURO are bringing moisture in from what is likely to be Hurricane Kay over the eastern pacific.

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 those are some pretty big totals

Probably will have to start watching the creeks and bayous if that verifies.

I believe CMC and EURO are bringing moisture in from what is likely to be Hurricane Kay over the eastern pacific.

Yep! Mid to late next week it looks like. Plus another dose of Gulf moisture coming in on Friday and increasing through the weekend.

[Stratton20]

12z CMC, definitely a little concerned about the flooding potential next week

[Cpv17]

12z CMC, definitely a little concerned about the flooding potential next week

And these are the global models showing that much. Imagine what the mesoscale models will show when we get closer.

[mcheer23]

GFS doesn't show much because it has future Hurricane Kay hitting to the left of Baja California.

[don]

From HGX discussion this morning those precipitable waters this weekend are TC territory PWATS...


The probability of precipitation progressively increases Friday night
into early next week as a backdoor frontal boundary moves through
and becomes quasi-stationary along the coast. Global models still
differ on the evolution and strength of some mesoscale features;
however, models keep suggesting an increase in moisture with PWATS
around 2.3-2.5 inches through early next week. These values are
well above normal (above the median moving average) for late
August standards; suggesting locally moderate to heavy rain,
particularly along the boundary. Have increased PoPs to 50-70
percent mainly for Saturday and Sunday with the best chances south
of I-10.

Rain and storm chances Monday through Wednesday will generally
revolve around the the quasi-stationary boundary meandering along
the coast and slowly moving inland/northward.