Well Texas almost beat Bama and the refs with their backup qb.
And yeah the A&M offense is about as boring as the weather is lol great defense though.
September 2022
-
TexasBreeze
- Posts: 942
- Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
- Location: NW Houston, TX
- Contact:
Couple tough losses for Texas and Texas A&M today with the Coogs and Tech in a tough battle. College football you just never know!
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
That game sucked a**, thats why we should never be ranked in the top 10 with jimblow fisher and a QB who is not good, the weather also sucked, the heat was awful, not as bad as notre dame losing to marshall though
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
CMC starting to hint at some development in the Western Caribbean and GOM in the day 8-10 range, the GFS also hints at something as well, this season is far from over despite what some folks say, IMO a quite season is actually more dangerous than an active season, I say dangerous in the way that a storm can catch so many off guard in a quiet season because many people will say “ oh its quiet so there is nothing to worry about” and then some thing forms on your door step. It aint over till its over folks
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
12z Euro hints at our first real fall front, but its at day 10
Reinforcing dry front is through and we have a northerly breeze now in CLL. The dewpoint is starting to drop. We'll actually have lows in the mid to upper 60s over the next few nights.
I’m kinda intrigued about this plume of moisture that the models are seeing south of us. Some of it may try to sneak in here over the next couple weeks. Other than that there’s nothing really to speak of.
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
It feels amazing outside!! Nice little tease of fall! Cant wait for that first fall front to make it here
I'm assuming more dry air will trickle down today since its supposed to be mid 60s tomorrow but it was 80% humidity still this morning in Cypress. A tad cooler this morning but nothing amazing. 66-67 should feel almost chilly tomorrow.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 4483
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
00
FXUS64 KHGX 121136
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
636 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 318 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
The weak cold front that moved through the region yesterday is
already over the coastal waters. This boundary will move well
offshore throughout the day and will linger/stall over the Gulf
waters through most of the work-week. The passage of this front
has brought even drier conditions across SETX as the sfc ridge of
high pressure builds over the South Plains. Mostly sunny skies,
light winds, warm and less humid conditions are expected today.
Temperatures will climb from the low to mid 90s this afternoon.
Despite a warm day, a pleasant night is expected, at least for
locations north of I-10. With sfc dewpoints dropping in the 60s
and mostly clear skies, a decent radiational cooling can be
anticipated. Overnight lows will range from the low 60s to low 70s
(inland) and in the low to mid 70s along the coast. Coldest
readings across our far northern counties.
With the ridge in place, strong subsidence and warmer conditions
are expected to continue on Tuesday. The combination of weak
onshore flow over the coastal waters, daytime heating and the
sea/baybreeze will once again help to spark a few showers/storms
over south of I-10 in the afternoon. Highs will generally be from
the low to mid 90s. Return flow from the departing high will
bring south to southeast flow, leading to a slightly milder night
on Tuesday. Overnight lows will mostly be in the 60s, with the
coldest readings over our northeastern counties.
05
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 318 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
Relatively low humidity levels are expected to continue through
at least the middle of the week. The current model blend being
utilized in our grids show relatively low dew points lingering
through Thursday. Unfortunately, the lower humidity is not
expected to last. Increasing onshore flow will gradually push our
dew points upward during the second half of the week. This will
result in a corresponding increase in the overnight lows.
Afternoon highs will generally remain in the 90 to 95 range. But
it will feel hotter late in the week as those humidity levels
creep upwards.
PoPs will increase late in the week as onshore flow enhances Gulf
moisture over the region. The increasing moisture coupled with
diurnal forcing such as daytime heating and the seabreeze will
support the development of showers and afternoon thunderstorms by
the end of the week. The best chance of rain will be south of
interstate 10. PoPs increase somewhat for our southern and coastal
counties as early as Thursday. Highest PoPs are on Friday and
Saturday. In our northern and Brazos Valley counties, PoPs remain
low through the forecast period.
Self
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 621 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
Quiet weather with light northerly winds (5-10 knots) are on tap
for the region today. Coastal terminals could see a wind shift to
the ESE late this afternoon along the seabreeze. Light and
variable winds return after sunset. A brief period of MVFR
conditions will be possible late tonight/early Tuesday due to
patchy fog near SGR and LBX terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions
are expected through the period.
05
05
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 318 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
A weak cold front has pushed offshore the upper Texas coast
resulting in light to moderate offshore flow in its wake. Winds
will veer to a more easterly direction as the day progresses and
will remain light to moderate through Tuesday. By Wednesday expect
increasing east to southeast onshore flow with winds approaching
cautionary levels later this week. There will also be an
increasing chance of isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms by the second half of the week.
Self
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 92 66 95 68 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 93 68 94 68 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 92 77 92 78 / 10 10 10 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION.....05
MARINE.......87
FXUS64 KHGX 121136
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
636 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 318 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
The weak cold front that moved through the region yesterday is
already over the coastal waters. This boundary will move well
offshore throughout the day and will linger/stall over the Gulf
waters through most of the work-week. The passage of this front
has brought even drier conditions across SETX as the sfc ridge of
high pressure builds over the South Plains. Mostly sunny skies,
light winds, warm and less humid conditions are expected today.
Temperatures will climb from the low to mid 90s this afternoon.
Despite a warm day, a pleasant night is expected, at least for
locations north of I-10. With sfc dewpoints dropping in the 60s
and mostly clear skies, a decent radiational cooling can be
anticipated. Overnight lows will range from the low 60s to low 70s
(inland) and in the low to mid 70s along the coast. Coldest
readings across our far northern counties.
With the ridge in place, strong subsidence and warmer conditions
are expected to continue on Tuesday. The combination of weak
onshore flow over the coastal waters, daytime heating and the
sea/baybreeze will once again help to spark a few showers/storms
over south of I-10 in the afternoon. Highs will generally be from
the low to mid 90s. Return flow from the departing high will
bring south to southeast flow, leading to a slightly milder night
on Tuesday. Overnight lows will mostly be in the 60s, with the
coldest readings over our northeastern counties.
05
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 318 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
Relatively low humidity levels are expected to continue through
at least the middle of the week. The current model blend being
utilized in our grids show relatively low dew points lingering
through Thursday. Unfortunately, the lower humidity is not
expected to last. Increasing onshore flow will gradually push our
dew points upward during the second half of the week. This will
result in a corresponding increase in the overnight lows.
Afternoon highs will generally remain in the 90 to 95 range. But
it will feel hotter late in the week as those humidity levels
creep upwards.
PoPs will increase late in the week as onshore flow enhances Gulf
moisture over the region. The increasing moisture coupled with
diurnal forcing such as daytime heating and the seabreeze will
support the development of showers and afternoon thunderstorms by
the end of the week. The best chance of rain will be south of
interstate 10. PoPs increase somewhat for our southern and coastal
counties as early as Thursday. Highest PoPs are on Friday and
Saturday. In our northern and Brazos Valley counties, PoPs remain
low through the forecast period.
Self
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 621 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
Quiet weather with light northerly winds (5-10 knots) are on tap
for the region today. Coastal terminals could see a wind shift to
the ESE late this afternoon along the seabreeze. Light and
variable winds return after sunset. A brief period of MVFR
conditions will be possible late tonight/early Tuesday due to
patchy fog near SGR and LBX terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions
are expected through the period.
05
05
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 318 AM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
A weak cold front has pushed offshore the upper Texas coast
resulting in light to moderate offshore flow in its wake. Winds
will veer to a more easterly direction as the day progresses and
will remain light to moderate through Tuesday. By Wednesday expect
increasing east to southeast onshore flow with winds approaching
cautionary levels later this week. There will also be an
increasing chance of isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms by the second half of the week.
Self
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 92 66 95 68 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 93 68 94 68 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 92 77 92 78 / 10 10 10 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION.....05
MARINE.......87
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 4483
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
VFR conditions expected throughout the TAF period. Light N-NE
winds for the rest of today becoming VRB tonight into Tue morning
from 01-15Z. Winds will turn more E thereafter as SFC high
pressure moves into LA/MS region. Some patchy fog could develop
overnight and may lead to brief periods of MVFR conditions. No
other aviation hazards expected.
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Sep 12 2022
VFR conditions expected throughout the TAF period. Light N-NE
winds for the rest of today becoming VRB tonight into Tue morning
from 01-15Z. Winds will turn more E thereafter as SFC high
pressure moves into LA/MS region. Some patchy fog could develop
overnight and may lead to brief periods of MVFR conditions. No
other aviation hazards expected.
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Models are starting to sniff out our first possible real legit fall front around the 21/22nd at least according to the CMC and Euro
At this point, I will trust things when my outside thermometer dips. There is no rhyme or reason to predictions this year.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 12, 2022 1:15 pm Models are starting to sniff out our first possible real legit fall front around the 21/22nd at least according to the CMC and Euro
The Google weather results (weather.com) for Houston is showing solid days of rain all of a sudden — starting from Friday and continuing into next week.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 4483
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
000
FXUS64 KHGX 131047
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
547 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
The sky is mostly clear across Southeast Texas early this morning,
save for some wisps or cirrus north and northeast of Houston, and
the beginnings of some cumulus down towards Matagorda Bay - likely
a sign of where our best chance to squeeze out any rain today
exists. There`s also been a few brief, isolated showers over the
Gulf of Mexico - and while we should expect some more of those to
pop up over the next several hours, they should have vanishingly
little impact on the waters, and none to speak of even at the
coast.
The surface pressure pattern is pretty flat early this morning,
seen in the calm or light and variable winds in place. Eventually
we should see things consolidate under high pressure over the
Lower Mississippi Valley today, which will drift eastward through
tomorrow. This will gradually establish more consistent onshore
flow across the area, but it`s a tenuous connection at best for
now. Because of this, precipitable water is not particularly
impressive - with most of the forecast area around or below 75
percent of normal. The best moisture, approaching normal values,
is - surprise, surprise - down around Matagorda Bay as I hinted at
up at the start of the discussion. If we squeeze out any rain
today, that`s where it`s most likely to be. Even there though, I`m
not terribly optimistic that we`re going to get more than a couple
stray cells given near-normal column moisture and general (albeit
weak) ridging in place.
As far as tomorrow goes, pretty much more of the same? If
anything, I`d think the day will be even drier, given ridging
becoming a bit more pronounced, and though that means established
low level onshore flow, it will take some time to build up
precipitable water values to that associated more with a diurnal
rain pattern at the coast. Perhaps by late tomorrow night, we`ll
have enough moisture in place to get a few light streamer showers
at the shore.
Temperature-wise, things look fairly pleasant. Temperatures should
be pretty close to persistence from yesterday...perhaps a touch
warmer under nearly full sun. This does mean high temperatures a
tiny bit above average for mid-September, but we`re also likely
mixing down drier air from aloft around the time of high
temperatures, so at least that should keep oppressive mugginess
at bay. Overnight, relatively low dewpoints will help things get a
bit cooler north of the Houston metro, with lows in the lower to
middle 60s. Closer to the coast, lows in the upper 60s to around
70 should be expected. Right on the Gulf, we should probably
expect lows tomorrow night to be even more up into the 70s, as the
return of that onshore flow will boost dewpoints, and thus, the
temperature floor.
Luchs
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
An eastward progressing surface high pressure system will enhance
offshore flow late this week into early next week. The resulting low
level moisture advection coupled with diurnal and mesoscale forces
will begin to increase the chance of afternoon showers/storms by
Thursday. Thursday`s PoPs are 30-40% south of I-10 and are much
lower (less than 20%) once north of the Houston metro. Global models
have trended wetter for Friday-Sunday. Thus, we have opted for a
modest PoPs increase during that time frame. Our grids feature
afternoon PoPs of 40-60% over the southern half of the CWA Friday-
Sunday. Farther north, weekend PoPs are only 15-25% in our
northernmost and Brazos Valley counties. The latest global
deterministic guidance suggest higher PoPs across the CWA than
currently predicted. Future upward PoPs adjustments are possible if
those model trends were to continue.
Temperatures are expected to be near normal through the forecast
period. Low to mid 90s will be common across the CWA. Coastal areas
expected to be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Overnight lows will
generally be in the 70s. Northern counties may manage one more
"cool" morning in the 60s on Friday. The aforementioned low level
moisture advection will be felt via increasing humidity levels. So
brace yourself for some good old fashioned sweaty southeast Texas
weather!
Self
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 544 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
VFR for virtually all, with light/variable winds early this
morning becoming easterly and increasing to around 10 knots this
afternoon, then light/variable again tonight. The sole exception
to the prevailing VFR is some MVFR fog at LBX, which should
dissipate in the first hour or two of the period.
Luchs
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 231 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
Light to moderate east southeasterly flow is expected through the
end of the week. Winds on Wednesday and Thursday may be more
moderate to fresh which could warrant caution flags. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will return to the forecast
during the second half of the week.
Self
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 92 67 93 64 / 10 0 10 0
Houston (IAH) 92 68 92 67 / 10 0 10 10
Galveston (GLS) 88 79 88 79 / 10 0 10 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...25
FXUS64 KHGX 131047
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
547 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
The sky is mostly clear across Southeast Texas early this morning,
save for some wisps or cirrus north and northeast of Houston, and
the beginnings of some cumulus down towards Matagorda Bay - likely
a sign of where our best chance to squeeze out any rain today
exists. There`s also been a few brief, isolated showers over the
Gulf of Mexico - and while we should expect some more of those to
pop up over the next several hours, they should have vanishingly
little impact on the waters, and none to speak of even at the
coast.
The surface pressure pattern is pretty flat early this morning,
seen in the calm or light and variable winds in place. Eventually
we should see things consolidate under high pressure over the
Lower Mississippi Valley today, which will drift eastward through
tomorrow. This will gradually establish more consistent onshore
flow across the area, but it`s a tenuous connection at best for
now. Because of this, precipitable water is not particularly
impressive - with most of the forecast area around or below 75
percent of normal. The best moisture, approaching normal values,
is - surprise, surprise - down around Matagorda Bay as I hinted at
up at the start of the discussion. If we squeeze out any rain
today, that`s where it`s most likely to be. Even there though, I`m
not terribly optimistic that we`re going to get more than a couple
stray cells given near-normal column moisture and general (albeit
weak) ridging in place.
As far as tomorrow goes, pretty much more of the same? If
anything, I`d think the day will be even drier, given ridging
becoming a bit more pronounced, and though that means established
low level onshore flow, it will take some time to build up
precipitable water values to that associated more with a diurnal
rain pattern at the coast. Perhaps by late tomorrow night, we`ll
have enough moisture in place to get a few light streamer showers
at the shore.
Temperature-wise, things look fairly pleasant. Temperatures should
be pretty close to persistence from yesterday...perhaps a touch
warmer under nearly full sun. This does mean high temperatures a
tiny bit above average for mid-September, but we`re also likely
mixing down drier air from aloft around the time of high
temperatures, so at least that should keep oppressive mugginess
at bay. Overnight, relatively low dewpoints will help things get a
bit cooler north of the Houston metro, with lows in the lower to
middle 60s. Closer to the coast, lows in the upper 60s to around
70 should be expected. Right on the Gulf, we should probably
expect lows tomorrow night to be even more up into the 70s, as the
return of that onshore flow will boost dewpoints, and thus, the
temperature floor.
Luchs
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
An eastward progressing surface high pressure system will enhance
offshore flow late this week into early next week. The resulting low
level moisture advection coupled with diurnal and mesoscale forces
will begin to increase the chance of afternoon showers/storms by
Thursday. Thursday`s PoPs are 30-40% south of I-10 and are much
lower (less than 20%) once north of the Houston metro. Global models
have trended wetter for Friday-Sunday. Thus, we have opted for a
modest PoPs increase during that time frame. Our grids feature
afternoon PoPs of 40-60% over the southern half of the CWA Friday-
Sunday. Farther north, weekend PoPs are only 15-25% in our
northernmost and Brazos Valley counties. The latest global
deterministic guidance suggest higher PoPs across the CWA than
currently predicted. Future upward PoPs adjustments are possible if
those model trends were to continue.
Temperatures are expected to be near normal through the forecast
period. Low to mid 90s will be common across the CWA. Coastal areas
expected to be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Overnight lows will
generally be in the 70s. Northern counties may manage one more
"cool" morning in the 60s on Friday. The aforementioned low level
moisture advection will be felt via increasing humidity levels. So
brace yourself for some good old fashioned sweaty southeast Texas
weather!
Self
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 544 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
VFR for virtually all, with light/variable winds early this
morning becoming easterly and increasing to around 10 knots this
afternoon, then light/variable again tonight. The sole exception
to the prevailing VFR is some MVFR fog at LBX, which should
dissipate in the first hour or two of the period.
Luchs
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 231 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022
Light to moderate east southeasterly flow is expected through the
end of the week. Winds on Wednesday and Thursday may be more
moderate to fresh which could warrant caution flags. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will return to the forecast
during the second half of the week.
Self
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 92 67 93 64 / 10 0 10 0
Houston (IAH) 92 68 92 67 / 10 0 10 10
Galveston (GLS) 88 79 88 79 / 10 0 10 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...25
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Might have to watch that wave that will approaching the leeward islands in a few days, the CMC brings it into the gulf and the. forced west as ridging builds in to the north, something to watch