September 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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Re: September 2022

Post by tireman4 » Fri Sep 23, 2022 12:41 pm

AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri Sep 23 2022

No issues for the rest of today/tonight/tomorrow morning with high
pressure remaining large and in charge. Light NE winds (5-7kts) in
place currently will gradually turn to the SE later this afternoon
(7-10kt). Very light and variable winds overnight (0-3kts) will be
transitioning to S/SE winds by tomorrow morning/early afternoon (5
-7kts). Otherwise VFR. 41

Cpv17
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Re: September 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Sep 23, 2022 1:50 pm

Very ugly forecast from the CPC today. Above average temps and below average precipitation for the next 3-4 weeks. Trash.

Stratton20
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Re: September 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Fri Sep 23, 2022 2:08 pm

Yep, 2022 is a terrible year for weather, facts as well, Texas weather sucks!

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snowman65
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Re: September 2022

Post by snowman65 » Fri Sep 23, 2022 3:00 pm

Lets all jut move north!!

Iceresistance
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Re: September 2022

Post by Iceresistance » Fri Sep 23, 2022 4:38 pm

This might not be Texas, but it's important because Michigan got down to the 20s this morning, that is one month ahead of the first average freeze.

And parts of Vermont got snow.

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DoctorMu
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Re: September 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Fri Sep 23, 2022 6:46 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Fri Sep 23, 2022 12:05 pm
We got a good front yesterday here in the Smoky Mountains and are expecting a stronger front Sunday evening. Our low temperatures are expected to be in the 30's with high temperatures only reaching the low 60's. I suspect you folks will enjoy the lower dewpoints, particularly in the evenings/early mornings.
We'll take the lower DPs if it's not going to bother raining. 30s is a bit chilly for late Sept in the Smokies.

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don
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Re: September 2022

Post by don » Sat Sep 24, 2022 11:57 am

Iceresistance wrote:
Fri Sep 23, 2022 4:38 pm
This might not be Texas, but it's important because Michigan got down to the 20s this morning, that is one month ahead of the first average freeze.

And parts of Vermont got snow.
It being cold up there doesn't really correlate to fall or winter weather down here.They can have record breaking cold temps and snow galore up there.But if the trough doesn't dig far enough south all that cold air stay bottled up to the north,while we scorch down here at the same time.Which we have seen happen several times the last few winters. ;)

Stratton20
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Re: September 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Sat Sep 24, 2022 12:22 pm

Knowing our luck i bet this winter is going to be warm lol

davidiowx
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Re: September 2022

Post by davidiowx » Sat Sep 24, 2022 1:01 pm

don wrote:
Sat Sep 24, 2022 11:57 am
Iceresistance wrote:
Fri Sep 23, 2022 4:38 pm
This might not be Texas, but it's important because Michigan got down to the 20s this morning, that is one month ahead of the first average freeze.

And parts of Vermont got snow.
It being cold up there doesn't really correlate to fall or winter weather down here.They can have record breaking cold temps and snow galore up there.But if the trough doesn't dig far enough south all that cold air stay bottled up to the north,while we scorch down here at the same time.Which we have seen happen several times the last few winters. ;)
Yep! About the only time it really matters is when the front makes it offshore and cold air is running over ice/snow pack in the plains. It which enhances cold air advection further south where the grounds are well above freezing. Typically when there’s a tiny window for some frozen precip down here that can help a little if the dry air doesn’t take over first.

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don
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Re: September 2022

Post by don » Sat Sep 24, 2022 1:12 pm

davidiowx wrote:
Sat Sep 24, 2022 1:01 pm
don wrote:
Sat Sep 24, 2022 11:57 am
Iceresistance wrote:
Fri Sep 23, 2022 4:38 pm
This might not be Texas, but it's important because Michigan got down to the 20s this morning, that is one month ahead of the first average freeze.

And parts of Vermont got snow.
It being cold up there doesn't really correlate to fall or winter weather down here.They can have record breaking cold temps and snow galore up there.But if the trough doesn't dig far enough south all that cold air stay bottled up to the north,while we scorch down here at the same time.Which we have seen happen several times the last few winters. ;)
Yep! About the only time it really matters is when the front makes it offshore and cold air is running over ice/snow pack in the plains. It which enhances cold air advection further south where the grounds are well above freezing. Typically when there’s a tiny window for some frozen precip down here that can help a little if the dry air doesn’t take over first.
Yep I agree!

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