September 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Re: September 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:05 pm

14 ft storm surge reported in Ft. Myers

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tireman4
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Re: September 2022

Post by tireman4 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:06 pm

I have a bad feeling about this. It is going ever so slowly and bringing wind, rain and surge on top of that.
From the recon flight earlier today..

When I say this was the roughest flight of my career so far, I mean it. I have never seen the bunks come out like that. There was coffee everywhere. I have never felt such lateral motion. Aboard Kermit (#NOAA42) this morning into Hurricane #Ian. Please stay safe out there. https://t.co/DQwqBwAE6v pic.twitter.com/gvV7WUJ6aS
-- Tropical Nick Underwood (@TheAstroNick) September 28, 2022

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Re: September 2022

Post by Cromagnum » Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:27 pm

Once the backside of the eyewall starts coming in its really going to tear things up.

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Re: September 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:36 pm

Its going to get even worse, strongest winds are on the western side of the eye wall…… Has yet to pass over

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Re: September 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:38 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
Wed Sep 28, 2022 9:39 am
tireman4 wrote:
Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:59 am
From Wxman 57 on S2K..

Note that the NHC's 12-16 ft surge into Port Charlotte/Ft. Myers is for the BEACH. Surge up the Caloosahatchee river into Ft. Myers could be 20-24 ft. See the NHC's inundation graphic for the region. MANY areas under 9+ ft of water this afternoon. Far as I can tell, this will be the worst hurricane ever to strike the area. Charley in 2004 was strong, but tiny compared to Ian. Ian will be retired.
Port Charlotte is going to be crushed. PC and Englewood could be in the eyewall for hours. :shock:

I hope everyone GTFO.
We have landfall now.

Houses will be covered and lifted away by the water. Ft. Myers, Sanibel, other barrier islands.

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tireman4
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Re: September 2022

Post by tireman4 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:46 pm

Hurricane #Ian makes landfall with 150 mph winds at Cayo Costa, Florida, the exact spot Category 4 Charley made landfall in 2004, also with 150 mph. About where the comparisons end. Ian with an enormous footprint of water that's only just begun. pic.twitter.com/ACn5CKaaW9
-- Michael Lowry (@MichaelRLowry) September 28, 2022

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Re: September 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 2:04 pm

Enjoy this lower humidity and cool mornings while it lasts. Looks like a torch is coming after this.

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Re: September 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 2:49 pm

Cpv17 maybe some low 90’s, but we are done with the extreme stuff, the NHC has around 90 degrees as our hottest temperature here over the next 10 days with lows in the 60’s, second summer is over and a slow transition to fall is beginning

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Re: September 2022

Post by tireman4 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 2:53 pm

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Wed Sep 28 2022

Mainly a wind forecast as dry air continues to prevail. Easterly
winds this morning will gradually shift over to northeasterly by
the afternoon. Additionally, wind gusts up to 15-20 knots are
possible through the afternoon hours as a low-level jet streak
passes near the region. Winds become light and variable overnight
again and becomes northeasterly again around 10 knots on Thursday
morning.

Batiste

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Re: September 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 3:31 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Sep 28, 2022 2:49 pm
Cpv17 maybe some low 90’s, but we are done with the extreme stuff, the NHC has around 90 degrees as our hottest temperature here over the next 10 days with lows in the 60’s, second summer is over and a slow transition to fall is beginning
Image

I have a feeling this might last into December.

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