November 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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November 2022

Post by tireman4 » Sun Oct 09, 2022 10:17 am

The month we give thanks for all and everything. Shall it cool? Cold? Warm? Wet? We shall see

Cpv17
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Re: November 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Oct 09, 2022 3:08 pm

tireman4 wrote:
Sun Oct 09, 2022 10:17 am
The month we give thanks for all and everything. Shall it cool? Cold? Warm? Wet? We shall see
Most likely above average temps with below normal precipitation and 2 decent fronts with fast rebounds.

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Re: November 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Sun Oct 09, 2022 3:27 pm

I think it will be near normal to slightly below normal in terms of temps!, just my two cents

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DoctorMu
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Re: November 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Mon Oct 17, 2022 10:37 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Sun Oct 09, 2022 3:08 pm
tireman4 wrote:
Sun Oct 09, 2022 10:17 am
The month we give thanks for all and everything. Shall it cool? Cold? Warm? Wet? We shall see
Most likely above average temps with below normal precipitation and 2 decent fronts with fast rebounds.
That's likely to continue all winter.

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Re: November 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Mon Oct 17, 2022 10:47 am

DoctorMu eh no, in fact their are some indications it could be colder than normal for the central US including Texas in the winter,

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Re: November 2022

Post by Cpv17 » Mon Oct 17, 2022 10:58 am

Stratton20 wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 10:47 am
DoctorMu eh no, in fact their are some indications it could be colder than normal for the central US including Texas in the winter,
If you want cold then you’re gonna need an SSW to occur.

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Re: November 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Mon Oct 17, 2022 11:02 am

CPV17 I follow Roy Ponder who is an outstanding meteorologist in Texas and he had a video talking about this winter, talked about how long range guidance was suggesting blocking would set up over alaska , definitely could help to dump some pretty cold air into the US, im just not buying the outlook that this winter will be warm, heck even the CPC 3 month outlook isnt that bad, only slightly above normal temps to even just normal for us, ive seen worse outlooks

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DoctorMu
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Re: November 2022

Post by DoctorMu » Tue Oct 18, 2022 1:51 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 11:02 am
CPV17 I follow Roy Ponder who is an outstanding meteorologist in Texas and he had a video talking about this winter, talked about how long range guidance was suggesting blocking would set up over alaska , definitely could help to dump some pretty cold air into the US, im just not buying the outlook that this winter will be warm, heck even the CPC 3 month outlook isnt that bad, only slightly above normal temps to even just normal for us, ive seen worse outlooks
That's Ouija Board stuff in a La Nina winter.

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Re: November 2022

Post by Iceresistance » Sat Oct 29, 2022 9:01 am

Could be a wet start for SE Texas, even though that the bulk of the QPF appears to be just offshore

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Re: November 2022

Post by Stratton20 » Sat Oct 29, 2022 1:53 pm

Im going to back track on my original November post and say its going to br a blow torch month, ridging dominates the entire month with all the arctic air staying bottled up in Canada,

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