November 2022

[Stratton20]

Models are beginning to break down the SE Ridge faster, arctic air has been getting a little further south on the past few GFS, first week of december looks above average here, but my money is on a very cold december for Texas after that first week

[jasons2k]

Models are beginning to break down the SE Ridge faster, arctic air has been getting a little further south on the past few GFS, first week of december looks above average here, but my money is on a very cold december for Texas after that first week

Another winter season, another season of noise from the GFS breaking down the ridge too early. I’d put my money on that for awhile.

[Stratton20]

Jasons2k its not just one model, the euro is too, that warm up will be very brief
Even the latest EPS guidance has trended colder than normal after the first week of december, you warm weather lovers better enjoy the next few weeks, because it wont be around for too too long

[Cpv17]

The cold signal is definitely there on the ensembles past 9–10 days but it’s not really that strong of one. The -NAO is going absolutely bananas.

[DoctorMu]

We've been getting a lot of overrun and rain for a La Nina "winter." Each one is different.

Rain here was light and about 1.25 inches. That was just fine. Everything is watered or soaked well enough.

[Iceresistance]

I finished with 1.4 inches of rain

DFW is now above normal for 2022 rainfall, isn't that wild?

[tireman4]

I am thinking December will be a roller coaster ride.

[Cpv17]

I don’t really like what I see in the models to get the cold down this far south. I think it’ll stay up north but the dam will likely break at some point. Just a guessing game as to when. The -NAO alone is not enough to get the cold down here.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 looking at the PNA, its current negative right now but its forecast to get closer to neutral in about 2-3 weeks, that is one thing that could work in favor for us, but until we get blocking to set up in the right position and this pesky SE Ridge to break down, we aren’t getting cold any time soon

[redneckweather]

Here we go...same thing every winter season. Most of the cold will go east and maybe once or twice we get a good glancing blow. There is nothing out of the ordinary that will be coming down over the next month or so but we are all weather lovers so it's fun to look at.