December 2022

[biggerbyte]

Folks, be careful of the hype. We will see, of course. At this time. I'd put my money on locations east of Texas, excepting the northern portions, getting hammered. All of these belly tickling videos and seemingly "in the know" postings. Watch out. Christmas is coming. We don't want to be disappointed over weather nonsense.

[Cpv17]

Models are modifying the air too much. Hi-res models are gonna be far more accurate. Expect temps to be a good bit colder than what models are indicating right now.

Wish cast alert, wish cast alert.
I’m expecting highs in the 30’s and lows in the 20’s. On Christmas Eve and Christmas for HTX. Things are trending toward a moderate cold snap. Don’t expect a 2021 or 1989 event!

Nah. Just going off past experiences. Plus the snowpack looks above normal.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

GEFS is damn cold.

Not often you see Ensemble output of low 20s for our area and highs around freezing. That’s pretty damn wild.

[Stratton20]

12z Euro backtracks yet again, we are getting into the range where we should start to see better agreement soon hopefully, ensembles are colder, so i’ll probably go with a blend of the euro and cmc and say highs in the low 30’s, at leaat thats my prediction right now

[brazoriatx]

Might just be a bad run....could be more but I doubt it

[MontgomeryCoWx]

12z Euro backtracks yet again, we are getting into the range where we should start to see better agreement soon hopefully, ensembles are colder, so i’ll probably go with a blend of the euro and cmc and say highs in the low 30’s, at leaat thats my prediction right now

Ensembles across the models are pretty close unlike the Operationals. Stick with ensembles until Sunday.

[DoctorMu]

GEFS is damn cold.

Not often you see Ensemble output of low 20s for our area and highs around freezing. That’s pretty damn wild.

The key for me is that the Ensembles are TRENDING Colder as well. In other words, as they collect more data the overall picture continues to look colder. Siberian air this year is colder and denser. The Alaska and Greenland blocks are setting up. Possibly snowpack north of us. The rest is physics.

[brazoriatx]

57 keeps saying there is no high and no cold in NW Canada as of now.

Well no shi* it's not suppose to be there till this weekend. Sometimes he sounds like a broken record with his comments

[MontgomeryCoWx]

57 keeps saying there is no high and no cold in NW Canada as of now.

Well no shi* it's not suppose to be there till this weekend. Sometimes he sounds like a broken record with his comments

To be fair, he does follow it up with “we should be looking at late this weekend for something to be there”

[mcheer23]

57 keeps saying there is no high and no cold in NW Canada as of now.

Well no shi* it's not suppose to be there till this weekend. Sometimes he sounds like a broken record with his comments

Can't stand him sometimes. Seems like he's on board with only a light freeze. Well..he is about to be surprised.

[DoctorMu]

I should mention that GEFS and GEPS are both seeing elevated upper level vorticity (500 MB) on the 24/25th.

That *could* mean an ULL developing. We'll know more early next week.

It's going to be cold - we don't know exactly how cold yet.

Whether there will be any precip, including wintry stuff is a much more difficult proposition...stay tuned until we're within 3-5 days.

[DoctorMu]

57 keeps saying there is no high and no cold in NW Canada as of now.

Well no shi* it's not suppose to be there till this weekend. Sometimes he sounds like a broken record with his comments

To be fair, he does follow it up with “we should be looking at late this weekend for something to be there”

In other words, NOWcasting.

[DoctorMu]

Allegedly taken very recently in 57s backyard with some new technology he bought:

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Allegedly taken very recently in 57s backyard with some new technology he bought:

I laughed

[tireman4]

57 keeps saying there is no high and no cold in NW Canada as of now.

Well no shi* it's not suppose to be there till this weekend. Sometimes he sounds like a broken record with his comments

Can't stand him sometimes. Seems like he's on board with only a light freeze. Well..he is about to be surprised.

You know he is trying to tweak the "snow lovers" , right? LOL. He loves to be the grinch in the room. These are his true feelings. (1) He does love hot weather. That is for sure. (2) He can live with the cold, only if it is it productive, like snow. LOL

[MontgomeryCoWx]

He’s like me except my Grinch-ness surfaces when it comes to my favorite sports teams, not weather!

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Euro Ensemble mean has a 1043 High crossing into Texas.

That’s something you don’t see much of.

[tireman4]

This is what he is talking about..it will hurt if it verifies..

[Dls2010r]

Does that mean warmer?

[mcheer23]

Does that mean warmer?

Colder