December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
mcheer23
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 535
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
Contact:

EURO ensembles ( For Sugar Land)
Attachments
11.png
Dls2010r
Posts: 160
Joined: Sat Dec 01, 2018 6:21 am
Contact:

How much colder?
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19615
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

tireman4 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:08 pm This is what he is talking about..it will hurt if it verifies..
That pattern is what will be possibly delivering our White Christmas here across the Smokies and the Carolinas
Attachments
snku_acc.us_ma (2).png
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

14 inches in Charlotte. Holy Hell!
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

mcheer23 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:19 pm EURO ensembles ( For Sugar Land)
I'll take members 42 and 24 please.
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Dls2010r wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:21 pm How much colder?
If a 1043 crashed into Texas, with the snowpack to our north, we are easily seeing teens IMO
Team #NeverSummer
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Just in from the CPC, HIGH risk includes all of SE Texas, winter is coming with a fury folks, buckle up🥶🥶🥶
Attachments
E86709EB-5557-41EA-B167-395CEEE5D700.png
User avatar
christinac2016
Posts: 115
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2016 3:18 pm
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

I’m late to the party. Way late. :lol:
Boss told me Montgomery is expected not to get out of freezing Christmas Eve maybe Christmas Day. He wants to get some heaters for his patio for the company. What I’m the world did I miss? Lol
Cpv17
Posts: 5289
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

The CPC has placed almost the entire state of Texas under a high risk for much below normal temps. The last time this happened was Feb 21. It’s going to get cold. Very cold. And the winds are supposed to be gusting 40-60mph. Imagine the wind chills.
Cpv17
Posts: 5289
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

srainhoutx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:22 pm
tireman4 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:08 pm This is what he is talking about..it will hurt if it verifies..
That pattern is what will be possibly delivering our White Christmas here across the Smokies and the Carolinas
I’m not sure I could control myself if we had a map even remotely close to this over Texas. To say I’m jealous is an understatement.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19615
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:41 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:22 pm
tireman4 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:08 pm This is what he is talking about..it will hurt if it verifies..
That pattern is what will be possibly delivering our White Christmas here across the Smokies and the Carolinas
I’m not sure I could control myself if we had a map even remotely close to this over Texas. To say I’m jealous is an understatement.
It looks like work to me. Both of our Airbnb short term rental are booked beginning tomorrow until the New Year. The driveway at the house will need to be salted and shoveled so our Guests can travel back and forth from Cataloochee Ski Area 10 minutes away!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:41 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:22 pm
tireman4 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:08 pm This is what he is talking about..it will hurt if it verifies..
That pattern is what will be possibly delivering our White Christmas here across the Smokies and the Carolinas
I’m not sure I could control myself if we had a map even remotely close to this over Texas. To say I’m jealous is an understatement.
I'd go camping outside if that was expected. Just a total giddy mess if that was coming.
Team #NeverSummer
Stratton20
Posts: 4246
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

18z ICON only goes out 120 hours but some -50 degree readings are showing up in NW Canada on this run…….
AtascocitaWX
Posts: 92
Joined: Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:29 pm
Location: Atascocita,Tx
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:34 pm
Dls2010r wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:21 pm How much colder?
If a 1043 crashed into Texas, with the snowpack to our north, we are easily seeing teens IMO
Man... that cold without any snow will suck. But at least it would be cold for Xmas instead of hot day.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 4471
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1121 AM CST Thu Dec 15 2022

VFR conditions are expected to persist for the duration of the TAF
period. Light and variable winds remain in the forecast through
this evening, with a prevailing 5-10 knot E to NE wind developing
tomorrow. Scattered high clouds will develop heading into tomorrow
afternoon but no cig development is expected for the time being.

Cady
Cpv17
Posts: 5289
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:51 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:41 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:22 pm

That pattern is what will be possibly delivering our White Christmas here across the Smokies and the Carolinas
I’m not sure I could control myself if we had a map even remotely close to this over Texas. To say I’m jealous is an understatement.
I'd go camping outside if that was expected. Just a total giddy mess if that was coming.
I wouldn’t be able to sleep I could tell you that much.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:59 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:51 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:41 pm

I’m not sure I could control myself if we had a map even remotely close to this over Texas. To say I’m jealous is an understatement.
I'd go camping outside if that was expected. Just a total giddy mess if that was coming.
I wouldn’t be able to sleep I could tell you that much.
Probably the most fun I've had (recently) in snow was in Montana. We went to West Yellowstone to dog sled one day and we went a few miles, then when driving back up the Gallatin Range, it dumped. Wife and kid went to go get warm, and I went skiing in 1-2 inch per hour rates and -6 degrees.

Talk about carving up some trails and smiling the whole time.
Team #NeverSummer
Cpv17
Posts: 5289
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:52 pm 18z ICON only goes out 120 hours but some -50 degree readings are showing up in NW Canada on this run…….
I wish we could get Hi-res models in those regions.
biggerbyte
Posts: 1142
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:15 am
Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
Contact:

brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 1:50 pm 57 keeps saying there is no high and no cold in NW Canada as of now.

Well no shi* it's not suppose to be there till this weekend. Sometimes he sounds like a broken record with his comments
I'm actually surprised. He's usually bullish on model forecasting. A good weatherman looks at what is, not just what might be. As of now... you can't make a peanut butter sandwich without the peanut butter.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

He's caving a little more every couple of days, but he's sticking to his process.

He's now saying hard freezes and highs in the 30s, but also said it could be 5-10 degrees colder. Well no joke... models don't handle Arctic cold well at all.
Team #NeverSummer
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], Bing [Bot], Semrush [Bot] and 61 guests