December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Looks like 0z suite came in a lil colder tonight. Teens looking likely now.
brazoriatx
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Still looking dry..we need that trough to cooperate ;)
walsean1
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It is too bad it is looking dry and cold but we have seen craziness unfold in these winter weather scenarios. I going to reference Larry Cosgrove’s post from Friday where he had a storm that formed in the gulf and was going to dump 1-3 inches minimum from the Texas Rio Grande Valley through the 1-10 corridor.
brazoriatx
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Kinda hard to get a low in the gulf if that trough doesn't make it more south
redneckweather
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Dry nose bleed cold for Christmas. At least it will be cold. Maybe we will have a little luck with frozen precip later on in February.
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jasons2k
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Without snow, it’s just wasted, miserable cold for me. I would prefer 70’s.
txsnowmaker
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Nice to see 57 mentioning the possibility of a shortwave and snow in Houston on Christmas Eve.
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tireman4
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We still have a ways out, so I still think we see changes.
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snowman65
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Lucyyyyy!!!!
brazoriatx
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That moisture will be limted so maybe the coast and Houston
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Been telling folk to shave at least a few degrees off their weather app forecast.

Probably more like 10 degrees after looking into NW Canada
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txsnowmaker
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The models have come and go with snow. Given we’re still about a week out I’m certainly expecting more changes back and forth over the coming days.
Cpv17
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Models don’t pick up on winter weather events down here till we get into range of the Hi-res models. Never seen a global model pick up on a winter weather event for us at this range and show it consistently all the way up to the event. If something is there the Hi-res models should start to pick up on it within 24-48 hours.
txsnowmaker
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Cpv17 wrote: Sat Dec 17, 2022 9:42 am Models don’t pick up on winter weather events down here till we get into range of the Hi-res models. Never seen a global model pick up on a winter weather event for us at this range and show it consistently all the way up to the event. If something is there the Hi-res models should start to pick up on it within 24-48 hours.
Couldn’t agree more. That’s exactly how it tends to work down here.
brazoriatx
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Getting sleet In angleton..it's melting on contact
Last edited by brazoriatx on Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
Dls2010r
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Santa Fe also
Cpv17
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1069 MB HP on the 12 GFS in western Montana on day 5. Never seen that in all my years of watching models. Would crush the 1983 record.
brazoriatx
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Cpv17 wrote: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:49 am 1069 MB HP on the 12 GFS in western Montana on day 5. Never seen that in all my years of watching models. Would crush the 1983 record.
So would the lows go even lower ya think?..to cold and could ruin our chances for precip
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MontgomeryCoWx
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If we get a 1060 plus the modeling will be 5-10 too warm when it’s now cast time.
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Stratton20
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Man the 12z CMC is brutally cold, highs in the teens…
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