December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Conroe Regional sits in a bowl so it’s a bit of an outlier. Just a few miles away, near Conroe HS, there are still mature Mexican Fan Palms that survived the 2021 snowmageddon - when you have areas inside Beltway 8 that got completely torched. Microclimates are real and that’s something that you really appreciate in places like Hawaii, where microclimates are everywhere.

I wonder if we’ll start to see any flurries south of the lakes? It’s getting pretty dry already.
Last edited by jasons2k on Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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christinac2016
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26 degrees…was just 27 not 10 minutes ago here in The Woodlands.
TexasMetBlake
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7pm Temp Check vs NWS Forecast Low:

Dallas: 14°/10° … big bust potential
Austin: 21°/15° … big bust potential
San Antonio: 26°/18° … big bust potential
Houston: 29°/16° … potential bust

Still have 12 hours of cooling ahead 👀

Temperatures are far outpacing any model and we’re already closing in on the forecast low tonight in many areas and it’s only 7pm. IAH is the exception. They’re gonna have to cool quicker than they are to match the forecast low of 16°. They’ll likely lose 2-3 degrees per hour for a few more hours and then cool at the standard 1 degree per hour from then on. I’m still betting IAH gets below 15°F. It’ll be close, especially with a clearing sky and very strong CAA. Temperatures upstream are very cold so that gives me hope.
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jasons2k
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Weather app now shows 16 here. NWS says 13 (probably right)…

26 here now.
Cpv17
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25 here now wind chill 10..crazy!

TWC app has me down for 18 tomorrow morning.
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DoctorMu
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19°F now. Well ahead of schedule and just about the break through GFS' paper thin prediction. ;)

Blake, my 13°F prediction may be too high. Single digits could be a possibility under clear skies.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:09 pm 25 here now wind chill 10..crazy!

TWC app has me down for 18 tomorrow morning.
A windchill of 4°F here. We're headed to negative territory on wind chill, a first for me here. In Feb 2021 the winds had died down with snow/albedo when we had the 5°F and 9°F nights.

TG the electricity and heat are doing fine so far. Knock on wood.

The freezing line is headed toward Corpus. There's a pool of really cold air west of HOU heading south.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
TexasMetBlake
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:21 pm 19°F now. Well ahead of schedule and just about the break through GFS' paper thin prediction. ;)

Blake, my 13°F prediction may be too high. Single digits could be a possibility under clear skies.
The wind is the Achilles’ heel. Normally wind that strong would stifle a significant drop in temps but in this case, it is blowing in frigid Siberian air. The temps in North Texas are already closing in on single digits so that works in our favor for extreme cold.
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djmike
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Now 30 in Beaumont
Last edited by djmike on Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Mike
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DoctorMu
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TexasMetBlake wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:25 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:21 pm 19°F now. Well ahead of schedule and just about the break through GFS' paper thin prediction. ;)

Blake, my 13°F prediction may be too high. Single digits could be a possibility under clear skies.
The wind is the Achilles’ heel. Normally wind that strong would stifle a significant drop in temps but in this case, it is blowing in frigid Siberian air. The temps in North Texas are already closing in on single digits so that works in our favor for extreme cold.
Right. Everyone in Oklahoma is in single digits or below. That source air is courtesy of the Gulag!

18°F here. Every time I refresh Wundermap, the temp is lower. :shock:
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