December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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sambucol wrote: Sun Dec 04, 2022 6:57 pm Cpv17, yes. I know. Just wondering what the models were showing temp wise that Montgomery was talking about.
As of right now I would say with about 60% confidence that temps will be below average. How far below is anyone’s guess.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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sambucol wrote: Sun Dec 04, 2022 6:57 pm Cpv17, yes. I know. Just wondering what the models were showing temp wise that Montgomery was talking about.
From 240 hours onward (on the GFS) we are average to 15-20 below (during the day) and 10 below at night.

It’s impossible to project how cold Christmas week will end up.
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Cpv17
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18z GFS looks much better now at the 500mb level beginning in about 9-10 days.

The 18z GEFS still doesn’t look that great but it did improve from 12z.

The 12z EPS looks pretty good but could still improve.
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DoctorMu
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This would be nice in 10 days.

Image
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I’ll allow it ;)
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Stratton20
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You love to see that bright purple! I need an excuse to break oit the hot chocolate again
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Dec 04, 2022 9:18 pm You love to see that bright purple! I need an excuse to break oit the hot chocolate again
I prefer the pinkish white colors ;)

Magenta is a beautiful color! Lol
Stratton20
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00z Euro is amazing!
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Dec 05, 2022 1:13 am 00z Euro is amazing!
0z EPS is looking pretty good too. Definitely better than the GEFS.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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12z Euro goes colder than 0z and unloads right down the middle of the country to us.

If the long range Euro were to verify, we would be (potentially) looking at THREE successive waves of colder and colder air. As of right now, the week before Christmas through New Years looks mighty delicious for cold weather lovers.

Hold on to your rears, because I'm sure this is going flip flop and spit out some clown maps here and there until it gets a good hold of it.
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