Wx Infinity Forums

What shall we see? Cold? Frigid? Warm?

From everything I’m seeing, it looks like December is lining up to be pretty cold.

Someone on WxTwitter has mentioned that the GEFS forecast with the MJO is eerily similar to December 1983

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Wed Nov 16, 2022 6:00 pm Someone on WxTwitter has mentioned that the GEFS forecast with the MJO is eerily similar to December 1983

Swoon.

Saw that the MJO is expected to go to Phase 8? What does that mean for US in terms of winter?

Okay, I'm now seriously concerned for December, this MJO forecast is eerily similar to 1983 and 1989!

1983, Green Line is November and the Blue line is December

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/198310.phase.90days.gif
1989, same color code

https://s1.gifyu.com/images/198910.phase.90days.gif
MJO forecast on 11/16/2022

https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Current-MJO-forecast.gif

The CFS is consistent with an active pattern for mid to late December.

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 9:08 pm The CFS is consistent with an active pattern for mid to late December.

There’s a guy on YouTube that goes by the name Weatherman Plus that said he thinks mid to late December will be warm because the AO is forecasted to go positive. Don’t really know how much stock I put into that because I’ve heard it will be cold from just about everywhere else.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 10:30 pm

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 9:08 pm The CFS is consistent with an active pattern for mid to late December.

There’s a guy on YouTube that goes by the name Weatherman Plus that said he thinks mid to late December will be warm because the AO is forecasted to go positive. Don’t really know how much stock I put into that because I’ve heard it will be cold from just about everywhere else.

What about POW on Ponder? Cold as usual?

Cpv17 weatherman plus is a joke, ive seen this dude make videos on the GFS showing phantom hurricanes like 14 days out, he overhypes things alot, POW ponder on weather is much more reliable

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 11:04 pm Cpv17 weatherman plus is a joke, ive seen this dude make videos on the GFS showing phantom hurricanes like 14 days out, he overhypes things alot, POW ponder on weather is much more reliable

Gotcha. I just started watching his vids a few days ago. Haven’t heard of him till then.

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 11:01 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 10:30 pm

Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 9:08 pm The CFS is consistent with an active pattern for mid to late December.

There’s a guy on YouTube that goes by the name Weatherman Plus that said he thinks mid to late December will be warm because the AO is forecasted to go positive. Don’t really know how much stock I put into that because I’ve heard it will be cold from just about everywhere else.

What about POW on Ponder? Cold as usual?

I haven’t heard his thoughts yet on December. Maybe someone else has.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 11:04 pm Cpv17 weatherman plus is a joke, ive seen this dude make videos on the GFS showing phantom hurricanes like 14 days out, he overhypes things alot, POW ponder on weather is much more reliable

Ryan Hall Y'all has definitely settled down since last year, he does admit that he does like to get crazy excited for snow. His 6-7 foot snowfall forecast near Buffalo, NY verified.

When it comes to Livestreams, he's an absolute legend!

What was December 1983 like? I was only 3 and I wasn’t on this forum then. Lol

Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Sun Nov 20, 2022 10:21 am What was December 1983 like? I was only 3 and I wasn’t on this forum then. Lol

Longest streak ever of sub freezing weather.

My hometown in Longview was below freezing for 9 days I believe.

I think Houston was 72 hours plus.

I was a high school freshman at Pearland and it was a very chilly Christmas. A brief summary from Space City Weather:

December 1983
Coldest temperature: 11° on 12/25
Nights at or below freezing: 12, including 11 in a row to close the month.

The December 1983 cold wave was another hall of fame event for Houston. We closed the month with 11 straight mornings below freezing, including four full days that failed to crack above 32 degrees.

The GFS is already starting to show signs of a very cold airmass moving into the US during the first week of december, im putting my stock into a colder than normal December for many folks, possibly here as well

Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Sun Nov 20, 2022 10:21 am What was December 1983 like? I was only 3 and I wasn’t on this forum then. Lol

Is this December being compared to December 1983?

I was a senior in high school at Santa Fe. I can attest, December 1983 was the coldest I have been through for that long stretch of time.

Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Sun Nov 20, 2022 10:21 am What was December 1983 like? I was only 3 and I wasn’t on this forum then. Lol

December 1983 was very cold. It is one of the coldest Decembers recorded for most of America, including Texas.
https://www.weather.gov/cle/xmas1983bli ... %20Florida.
https://www.weather.gov/fsd/dec1983-recordcold
https://spacecityweather.com/looking-ba ... old-snaps/