December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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MontgomeryCoWx
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redneckweather wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 3:49 pm I live in Conroe and you DO NOT want to live in Conroe or Montgomery if you are wanting to get away from the hustle and bustle. Montgomery and Conroe are pretty much connected now and Highway 105 in-between both is a nightmare.
Yeah, Anderson-Iola is probably the place to go if you go north and still want to be somewhat close to commerce.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:06 pm Alternatively, I would move to the HIll Country. Kerrville, Marble Falls, near Pipe Creek/Bandera. Put in a rock garden and not rely on sprinkler systems so much.

Uncle has 2,000 acres in Pipe Creek. Gorgeous area.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Larry Cosgrove has a new update titled….

Arctic Air oozes southward…

Between Cosgrove, Thomas Chisholm, Noll, Maue and some of my more regional climate follows, it looks like December 10 through Christmas will be below normal, with what’s looking like a nice Arctic spell the 17th-Christmas.

Of course Bastardi is on board, but I’ve never not known Bastardi to be screaming cold around this time of year.
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Stratton20
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Global models are still iffy on if the cold air manages to get far south, guess we will see how this evolves over the next week or so
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MontgomeryCoWx
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There’s pretty good agreement on the first front around the 9th-10th. That gets us to a bit below average, but I’m really looking at that 15th-17th range when the big pot of Arctic air starts to descend on the plain states.

I’ve never quite seen so much agreement amongst Pro Mets past 10 days. Looking at our recipe for cold down here and the current ingredients in the short to mid term, it looks highly likely we will stay below normal for a while once we get past Friday of next week.
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davidiowx
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:06 pm Alternatively, I would move to the HIll Country. Kerrville, Marble Falls, near Pipe Creek/Bandera. Put in a rock garden and not rely on sprinkler systems so much.
Agreed, family has land out in Bandera County (Medina area) and it's amazing. Just have to water the garden, that's about it. The less rain, the less they need to cut the few weeds that grow where the rocks aren't there and that is few and far between lol..
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:19 pm Global models are still iffy on if the cold air manages to get far south, guess we will see how this evolves over the next week or so
Yeah I’m still not sold yet. Trying to temper my expectations and be realistic about it.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 18z GFS is going in the right direction for cold
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 6:24 pm Cpv17 18z GFS is going in the right direction for cold
That’s good man. I haven’t looked at the models much past couple days. About to watch POW Ponders new video here in a few.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 Just watched it a few hours ago, another fantastic video, definitely believes our warm days in Texas are limited haha
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:11 pm
redneckweather wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 3:49 pm I live in Conroe and you DO NOT want to live in Conroe or Montgomery if you are wanting to get away from the hustle and bustle. Montgomery and Conroe are pretty much connected now and Highway 105 in-between both is a nightmare.
Yeah, Anderson-Iola is probably the place to go if you go north and still want to be somewhat close to commerce.
Anderson has hills. Occasionally, they see a sea breeze storm in the summer that College Station does not. Just looked it up. Anderson is just 15-20 mi from CLL, but gets 6 more inches of rain (46) a year on average.
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:13 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 4:06 pm Alternatively, I would move to the HIll Country. Kerrville, Marble Falls, near Pipe Creek/Bandera. Put in a rock garden and not rely on sprinkler systems so much.

Uncle has 2,000 acres in Pipe Creek. Gorgeous area.
That drive on Hwy 16 is one of the best in Texas. The Hill Country in all its glory.
Cpv17
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It’s finally looking like the ensembles are eroding the SE ridge in the medium to long range.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Next 8 days look disgusting, so back to indoor cardio for me.

Ready to breathe the clean, fresh air again in 9 days.
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Dec 02, 2022 8:05 am Next 8 days look disgusting, so back to indoor cardio for me.

Ready to breathe the clean, fresh air again in 9 days.
haha That was EXACTLY my reaction. The forecast is even worse than yesterday for December. These high dewpoint periods (>60°F) in November and December. They were far more rare 20-30 years ago.
Stratton20
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I believe this first initial shot of arcitc air does help to chip away at the SE ridge, with each trough digging down, the SE ridge gets eroded a little more, I suspect it will be squashed at the end of the 8-10 day period
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DoctorMu
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The fact that the phrase "SE Ridge" is in a December Wx thread is not a good thing.

One of the consequences is the risk of severe weather next week in LA, MS, AL, TN, etc.
Cpv17
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Dew points are in the 70’s out there this afternoon. Absolutely ridiculous.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 no kidding! It’s disgusting !
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