December 2022

[Iceresistance]

You should see Larry Cosgrove's forecast

[Stratton20]

Some of the 12z GEFS members get interesting around the same time frame Larry is talking about, December could get interesting around here

[Iceresistance]

Larry Cosgrove's Tweets

https://twitter.com/LarryCosgrove/statu ... gr%5Etweet

https://twitter.com/LarryCosgrove/statu ... gr%5Etweet

[Cpv17]

Larry Cosgrove's Tweets

https://twitter.com/LarryCosgrove/statu ... gr%5Etweet

https://twitter.com/LarryCosgrove/statu ... gr%5Etweet

I would like to see the ridging in the long range over the Aleutians move east towards the GOA/western Canada. Not liking what I’m seeing there. It’s not positioned in the right place.

[sambucol]

I messaged Larry Cosgrove, and asked home what he thought the weather might be for our part of Texas for Dec 9 & 10. I am
part of an outdoor Christmas performance those 2 nights. He said he was leaning to cloudy, cold, and drizzly with frozen precipitation not being too far north, but it’s early to be specific.

[Cpv17]

I messaged Larry Cosgrove, and asked home what he thought the weather might be for our part of Texas for Dec 9 & 10. I am
part of an outdoor Christmas performance those 2 nights. He said he was leaning to cloudy, cold, and drizzly with frozen precipitation not being too far north, but it’s early to be specific.

Well for now the models and the CPC are keeping the colder air in the northern half of the country but we’ll see how that holds up.

[snowman65]

Right need the CPC is the most believable to me

[Cpv17]

Right need the CPC is the most believable to me

They’re kinda contradicting themselves right now though with their 8-14 day outlook to their 3-4 week outlook.

[Stratton20]

I unfortunately dont agree with the 8-14 day outlook, your not going to get any cold air down here with the SE ridge flexing its muscle, no chance at all, i expect it to trend back to warmer than normal unfortunately

[Cpv17]

I unfortunately dont agree with the 8-14 day outlook, your not going to get any cold air down here with the SE ridge flexing its muscle, no chance at all, i expect it to trend back to warmer than normal unfortunately

It all depends on where the EPO ridging sets up. If it sets up in the same area it did with this last cold spell then we’ll have a much better chance but from what I saw yesterday it looks like the ridging wants to setup over the Aleutians which would favor a -PNA and promote a SE ridge.